The Slate — NFL Prop Analytics

Anytime TD444 Rec yards399 Receptions400 Rush yards294 Pass yards57 Pass TDs58

CAR @ GB ARI @ DAL ATL @ TB BAL @ BUF CLE @ PIT IND @ JAX LV @ NYJ MIN @ DET TEN @ CIN KC @ DEN LAC @ LA NE @ MIA PHI @ WAS CHI @ SEA

Player ⇅	Pos ⇅	Matchup ⇅	Dep ⇅	Line ⇅	Proj ⇅	Model ⇅	Mkt ⇅	Over ⇅	Edge ⇅
Jacoby Brissett ARI @ DAL	QB	ARI vs DAL	1	0.5	0.3	0.273	0.092	850	OVERO +8.6%
AJ Barner SEA vs CHI	TE	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.6	0.465	0.241	255	OVERO +8.2%
Dawson Knox BUF vs BAL	TE	BUF vs BAL	2	0.5	0.4	0.298	0.126	600	OVERO +7.8%
Rashod Bateman BAL @ BUF	WR	BAL vs BUF	2	0.5	0.4	0.302	0.163	440	OVERO +5.4%
Roschon Johnson CHI @ SEA	RB	CHI vs SEA	3	0.5	0.4	0.345	0.190	350	OVERO +5.3%
Rasheen Ali BAL @ BUF	RB	BAL vs BUF	3	0.5	0.1	0.128	0.030	2800	OVERO +5.0%
Skyler Bell BUF vs BAL	WR	BUF vs BAL	6	0.5	0.2	0.178	0.070	1150	OVERO +5.0%
Laquon Treadwell IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.2	0.191	0.092	850	OVERO +4.1%
George Holani SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	3	0.5	0.2	0.147	0.057	1400	OVERO +4.0%
Josh Cuevas BAL @ BUF	TE	BAL vs BUF	3	0.5	0.2	0.169	0.080	1000	OVERO +3.8%
Mo Alie-Cox IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.1	0.126	0.046	1800	OVERO +3.7%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	5	0.5	0.1	0.116	0.037	2200	OVERO +3.7%
Ameer Abdullah JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.1	0.092	0.034	2500	OVERO +2.7%
Keon Coleman BUF vs BAL	WR	BUF vs BAL	3	0.5	0.3	0.286	0.191	360	OVERO +2.6%
Evan Hull ARI @ DAL	RB	ARI vs DAL	4	0.5	0.1	0.083	0.034	2500	OVERO +2.2%
Andrew Ogletree IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	4	0.5	0.1	0.086	0.037	2250	OVERO +2.2%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.1	0.098	0.047	1750	OVERO +2.1%
Khalil Herbert ATL @ TB	RB	ATL vs TB		0.5	0.2	0.206	0.111	800	OVERO +1.9%
Kenny Gainwell TB vs ATL	RB	TB vs ATL	2	0.5	0.4	0.302	0.209	380	OVERO +1.9%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ DAL	TE	ARI vs DAL	3	0.5	0.1	0.113	0.062	1300	OVERO +1.9%
Austin Hooper ATL @ TB	TE	ATL vs TB	3	0.5	0.2	0.165	0.077	1200	OVERO +1.8%
Jahdae Walker CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	5	0.5	0.1	0.076	0.034	2400	OVERO +1.7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs ARI	RB	DAL vs ARI		0.5	0.1	0.115	0.067	1200	OVERO +1.7%
Will Mallory IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.1	0.089	0.047	1750	OVERO +1.6%
DJ Giddens IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.1	0.064	0.030	2800	OVERO +1.4%
Greg Dortch BUF vs BAL	WR	BUF vs BAL	5	0.5	0.1	0.072	0.038	2200	OVERO +1.4%
Dak Prescott DAL vs ARI	QB	DAL vs ARI	1	0.5	0.2	0.208	0.146	500	OVERO +1.3%
Charlie Woerner ATL @ TB	TE	ATL vs TB	2	0.5	0.1	0.124	0.063	1500	OVERO +1.3%
Nick Muse ATL @ TB	TE	ATL vs TB	4	0.5	0.1	0.095	0.035	2800	OVERO +1.2%
Sean Tucker TB vs ATL	RB	TB vs ATL	3	0.5	0.2	0.212	0.154	550	OVERO +1.2%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL @ BUF	WR	BAL vs BUF	3	0.5	0.3	0.290	0.215	310	OVERO +1.2%
Tyler Warren IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.3	0.272	0.199	340	OVERO +1.2%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	3	0.5	0.1	0.100	0.054	1750	OVERO +0.9%
Camden Brown DAL vs ARI	WR	DAL vs ARI	6	0.5	0.1	0.082	0.053	1550	OVERO +0.8%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL @ TB	QB	ATL vs TB	1	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.067	1400	OVERO +0.8%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.8	0.566	0.438	100	OVERO +0.8%
David Sills TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	5	0.5	0.1	0.097	0.063	1500	OVERO +0.7%
Eric Saubert SEA vs CHI	TE	SEA vs CHI	2	0.5	0.1	0.079	0.054	1500	OVERO +0.5%
Devontez Walker BAL @ BUF	WR	BAL vs BUF	4	0.5	0.1	0.093	0.068	1200	OVERO +0.5%
Kameron Johnson TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	6	0.5	0.0	0.045	0.022	4500	OVERO +0.5%
Kyle Pitts ATL @ TB	TE	ATL vs TB	1	0.5	0.3	0.261	0.245	310	OVERO +0.4%
Tez Johnson TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	4	0.5	0.3	0.234	0.218	360	OVERO +0.4%
Matthew Hibner BAL @ BUF	TE	BAL vs BUF	2	0.5	0.1	0.090	0.068	1200	OVERO +0.3%
Daniel Jones IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.083	950	OVERO +0.2%
Bucky Irving TB vs ATL	RB	TB vs ATL	1	0.5	0.7	0.487	0.489	105	OVERO +0.1%
Jahan Dotson ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	2	0.5	0.2	0.186	0.201	400	OVERO -0.2%
Zachariah Branch ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	4	0.5	0.1	0.071	0.087	1050	OVERO -0.3%
Colston Loveland CHI @ SEA	TE	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.4	0.327	0.256	235	OVERO -0.3%
Ted Hurst III TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	3	0.5	0.2	0.208	0.233	330	OVERO -0.4%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs ARI	TE	DAL vs ARI	1	0.5	0.4	0.304	0.250	250	OVERO -0.6%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB vs ATL	QB	TB vs ATL	1	0.5	0.1	0.106	0.143	600	OVERO -0.7%
Reggie Virgil ARI @ DAL	WR	ARI vs DAL	3	0.5	0.1	0.077	0.073	1100	OVERO -0.8%
Tory Horton SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	4	0.5	0.2	0.205	0.171	400	OVERO -1.0%
Ray Davis BUF vs BAL	RB	BUF vs BAL	3	0.5	0.1	0.080	0.080	1000	OVERO -1.1%
Tyler Allgeier ARI @ DAL	RB	ARI vs DAL	2	0.5	0.2	0.206	0.182	380	OVERO -1.3%
Josh Downs IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.2	0.157	0.151	480	OVERO -1.8%
Cade Otton TB vs ATL	TE	TB vs ATL	1	0.5	0.2	0.142	0.248	305	OVERO -2.0%
Khalil Shakir BUF vs BAL	WR	BUF vs BAL	2	0.5	0.3	0.294	0.267	230	OVERO -2.1%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	2	0.5	0.2	0.186	0.304	230	OVERO -2.3%
Ty Johnson BUF vs BAL	RB	BUF vs BAL	2	0.5	0.1	0.093	0.110	700	OVERO -2.5%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs ARI	WR	DAL vs ARI	3	0.5	0.3	0.261	0.243	260	OVERO -2.5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs ARI	WR	DAL vs ARI	5	0.5	0.1	0.084	0.103	750	OVERO -2.5%
Emanuel Wilson SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.2	0.196	0.186	360	OVERO -2.6%
Justice Hill BAL @ BUF	RB	BAL vs BUF	2	0.5	0.1	0.097	0.117	650	OVERO -2.7%
Trevor Lawrence JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.2	0.209	0.208	320	OVERO -2.9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.1	0.103	0.125	600	OVERO -3.0%
Keenan Allen IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.2	0.154	0.167	425	OVERO -3.1%
Sam Darnold SEA vs CHI	QB	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.1	0.082	0.107	700	OVERO -3.2%
Caleb Williams CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.1	0.127	0.148	480	OVERO -3.6%
Josh Cameron JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.3	0.242	0.247	255	OVERO -3.8%
Elijah Higgins ARI @ DAL	TE	ARI vs DAL	2	0.5	0.1	0.088	0.125	600	OVERO -3.8%
Sam Roush CHI @ SEA	TE	CHI vs SEA	2	0.5	0.0	0.042	0.086	900	OVERO -3.8%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs ARI	RB	DAL vs ARI	2	0.5	0.2	0.139	0.167	425	OVERO -3.9%
Kalif Raymond CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	3	0.5	0.1	0.092	0.127	575	OVERO -4.0%
Josh Palmer BUF vs BAL	WR	BUF vs BAL	4	0.5	0.1	0.064	0.110	700	OVERO -4.0%
Mark Andrews BAL @ BUF	TE	BAL vs BUF	1	0.5	0.3	0.239	0.251	250	OVERO -4.1%
Kendrick Bourne ARI @ DAL	WR	ARI vs DAL	2	0.5	0.2	0.164	0.190	360	OVERO -4.2%
Drake London ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	1	0.5	0.2	0.190	0.409	145	OVERO -4.3%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.2	0.166	0.199	340	OVERO -4.7%
Bijan Robinson ATL @ TB	RB	ATL vs TB	1	0.5	0.5	0.379	0.647	-182	OVERO -5.2%
Jakobi Meyers JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.3	0.228	0.257	240	OVERO -5.3%
Rome Odunze CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.2	0.191	0.225	280	OVERO -5.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.2	0.171	0.219	300	OVERO -5.7%
James Cook BUF vs BAL	RB	BUF vs BAL	1	0.5	0.8	0.545	0.521	-145	OVERO -5.8%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs ARI	WR	DAL vs ARI	1	0.5	0.7	0.501	0.486	-125	OVERO -6.1%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs ARI	TE	DAL vs ARI	2	0.5	0.1	0.072	0.151	480	OVERO -6.5%
DJ Moore CHART BUF vs BAL	WR	BUF vs BAL	1	0.5	0.3	0.246	0.293	200	OVERO -6.6%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL @ BUF	QB	BAL vs BUF	1	0.5	0.2	0.146	0.215	310	OVERO -6.7%
Cooper Kupp SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	3	0.5	0.2	0.147	0.209	310	OVERO -6.9%
Bam Knight ARI @ DAL	RB	ARI vs DAL	3	0.5	0.1	0.129	0.203	330	OVERO -7.0%
Brenton Strange JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.3	0.232	0.292	200	OVERO -7.4%
Michael Wilson ARI @ DAL	WR	ARI vs DAL	1	0.5	0.3	0.247	0.307	185	OVERO -7.7%
Jeremiyah Love ARI @ DAL	RB	ARI vs DAL	1	0.5	0.3	0.283	0.336	160	OVERO -7.7%
Luther Burden III CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	2	0.5	0.2	0.187	0.260	230	OVERO -8.3%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.5	0.421	0.445	-108	OVERO -8.8%
Dalton Kincaid BUF vs BAL	TE	BUF vs BAL	1	0.5	0.2	0.184	0.284	210	OVERO -9.4%
Zay Flowers BAL @ BUF	WR	BAL vs BUF	1	0.5	0.3	0.272	0.355	148	OVERO -9.4%
Trey McBride ARI @ DAL	TE	ARI vs DAL	1	0.5	0.5	0.390	0.448	-105	OVERO -9.6%
George Pickens DAL vs ARI	WR	DAL vs ARI	2	0.5	0.4	0.343	0.416	110	OVERO -10.0%
Jadarian Price SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	6	0.5	0.1	0.117	0.232	270	OVERO -10.2%
Seth McGowan IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.1	0.073	0.213	310	OVERO -10.8%
Jonathan Taylor IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.3	0.266	0.417	110	OVERO -14.2%
Parker Washington JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.3	0.289	0.438	100	OVERO -14.4%
Javonte Williams DAL vs ARI	RB	DAL vs ARI	1	0.5	0.7	0.498	0.609	-230	OVERO -14.9%
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	2	0.5	0.2	0.212	0.373	130	OVERO -15.0%
D'Andre Swift CHI @ SEA	RB	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.3	0.292	0.439	-105	OVERO -15.4%
Josh Allen BUF vs BAL	QB	BUF vs BAL	1	0.5	0.3	0.264	0.535	-155	OVERO -22.2%
Derrick Henry BAL @ BUF	RB	BAL vs BUF	1	0.5	0.4	0.310	0.581	-195	OVERO -22.9%
Josh Jacobs GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.9
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ GB	RB	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.7
Christian Watson CHART GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.4
Tucker Kraft GB vs CAR	TE	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.4
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.3
Matthew Golden GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.3
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.3
Sam Howell DAL vs ARI	QB	DAL vs ARI	2	No line	0.2
Tyler Huntley BAL @ BUF	QB	BAL vs BUF	2	No line	0.2
Anthony Richardson IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	2	No line	0.2
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ GB	TE	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.2
Darren Waller CAR @ GB	TE	CAR vs GB	2	No line	0.2
Carson Beck ARI @ DAL	QB	ARI vs DAL	3	No line	0.2
Jack Strand ATL @ TB	QB	ATL vs TB	4	No line	0.1
Joe Fagnano BAL @ BUF	QB	BAL vs BUF	3	No line	0.1
Mitchell Evans CAR @ GB	TE	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Jalen Coker CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	2	No line	0.1
Haynes King CAR @ GB	QB	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Miller Moss CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA		No line	0.1
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ GB	RB	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Case Keenum CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA	3	No line	0.1
Jalen Brooks ARI @ DAL	WR	ARI vs DAL	6	No line	0.1
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB		No line	0.1
Easton Stick TB vs ATL	QB	TB vs ATL		No line	0.1
Emari Demercado DAL vs ARI	RB	DAL vs ARI	3	No line	0.1
John Metchie III CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	4	No line	0.1
Savion Williams GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	3	No line	0.1
Jalon Daniels TB vs ATL	QB	TB vs ATL	2	No line	0.1
Kyle Allen BUF vs BAL	QB	BUF vs BAL	2	No line	0.1
Bryce Young CAR @ GB	QB	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.1
Josh Williams TB vs ATL	RB	TB vs ATL		No line	0.1
Jordan Love GB vs CAR	QB	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.1
Pierre Strong GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	3	No line	0.1
Kenny Pickett CAR @ GB	QB	CAR vs GB	2	No line	0.1
Quinn Ewers JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND	2	No line	0.1
Riley Leonard IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	3	No line	0.1
Tyson Bagent CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA	2	No line	0.1
Jalen Milroe SEA vs CHI	QB	SEA vs CHI	3	No line	0.1
Drew Lock SEA vs CHI	QB	SEA vs CHI	2	No line	0.1
Cole Kmet CHI @ SEA	TE	CHI vs SEA	3	No line	0.1
Tua Tagovailoa ATL @ TB	QB	ATL vs TB	2	No line	0.1
Nick Mullens JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND		No line	0.1
Tyrod Taylor GB vs CAR	QB	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.1
Jonnu Smith GB vs CAR	TE	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.1
Kaleb Johnson GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	4	No line	0.1
Coleman Owen GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	6	No line	0.0
Josh Whyle GB vs CAR	TE	GB vs CAR	4	No line	0.0
Anthony Gould IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	6	0.5	0.0		0.038	2200
Ashton Dulin IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	4	0.5	0.0		0.045	1850
Bauer Sharp TB vs ATL	TE	TB vs ATL	4	0.5	0.0		0.039	2500
Brady Russell SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI		0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
C.J. Williams JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	6	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
Chris Blair ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	5	0.5	0.0		0.039	2500
Deion Burks IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	5	0.5	0.0		0.047	1750
Devin Duvernay ARI @ DAL	WR	ARI vs DAL	5	0.5	0.0		0.053	1550
Elijah Sarratt BAL @ BUF	WR	BAL vs BUF	6	0.5	0.0		0.030	2800
Irvin Charles SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	5	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
Jackson Hawes BUF vs BAL	TE	BUF vs BAL	3	0.5	0.0		0.068	1200
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs ARI	WR	DAL vs ARI	4	0.5	0.0		0.109	700
Keleki Latu BUF vs BAL	TE	BUF vs BAL	4	0.5	0.0		0.063	1300
Ko Kieft TB vs ATL	TE	TB vs ATL	3	0.5	0.0		0.035	2800
LaJohntay Wester BAL @ BUF	WR	BAL vs BUF	5	0.5	0.0		0.034	2500
Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs ARI	TE	DAL vs ARI	3	0.5	0.0		0.067	1200
Nick Kallerup SEA vs CHI	TE	SEA vs CHI	3	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
Nick Vannett BAL @ BUF	TE	BAL vs BUF	4	0.5	0.0		0.037	2250
Payne Durham TB vs ATL	TE	TB vs ATL	2	0.5	0.0		0.054	1750
Pharaoh Brown IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	5	0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
Quintin Morris JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.0		0.051	1600
Rashid Shaheed SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	2	0.5	0.0		0.114	650
Simi Fehoko ARI @ DAL	WR	ARI vs DAL	4	0.5	0.0		0.055	1500
Tanner Koziol JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	4	0.5	0.0		0.086	900
Zavion Thomas CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	4	0.5	0.0		0.061	1300

Players with projections are shown even without a sportsbook line. “No line” means none was saved in the latest snapshot; odds and edges stay blank. Select Priced only to show posted lines.

Not expected to play — A.J. Brown (NE, out); TreVeyon Henderson (NE, out). Entered by hand from outside the injury report. Their workload is not reallocated to teammates, so every projection on their team still assumes they play. Why

Projections only, not advice — prices move. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET

2026 Week 8