| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Line ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | Model ⇅ | Mkt ⇅ | Over ⇅ | Under ⇅ | Edge ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs ARI | WR | LAC vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.228 | 0.069 | 1200 | OVERO +7.9% | |
| Bam Knight ARI @ LAC | RB | ARI vs LAC | 3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.174 | 0.050 | 1700 | OVERO +6.3% | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ LAC | WR | ARI vs LAC | 5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.149 | 0.039 | 2200 | OVERO +5.6% | |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs ARI | RB | LAC vs ARI | 3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.261 | 0.179 | 400 | OVERO +2.4% | |
| David Njoku LAC vs ARI | TE | LAC vs ARI | 2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.208 | 0.138 | 550 | OVERO +2.2% | |
| Oronde Gadsden II CHART LAC vs ARI | TE | LAC vs ARI | 3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.208 | 0.143 | 525 | OVERO +1.9% | |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs ARI | WR | LAC vs ARI | 2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.360 | 0.279 | 220 | OVERO +1.1% | |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC vs ARI | WR | LAC vs ARI | 5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.075 | 0.050 | 1700 | OVERO +0.8% | |
| Hunter Long ARI @ LAC | TE | ARI vs LAC | 3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.067 | 0.047 | 1800 | OVERO +0.5% | |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ LAC | QB | ARI vs LAC | 1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.080 | 0.069 | 1200 | OVERO -0.2% | |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ LAC | TE | ARI vs LAC | 2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.061 | 0.056 | 1500 | OVERO -0.4% | |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI @ LAC | WR | ARI vs LAC | 1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.221 | 0.190 | 370 | OVERO -0.5% | |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ LAC | WR | ARI vs LAC | 3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.097 | 0.105 | 750 | OVERO -1.7% | |
| Justin Herbert CHART LAC vs ARI | QB | LAC vs ARI | 1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.186 | 0.179 | 400 | OVERO -1.8% | |
| Ladd McConkey LAC vs ARI | WR | LAC vs ARI | 1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.281 | 0.263 | 240 | OVERO -2.1% | |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ LAC | WR | ARI vs LAC | 2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.196 | 0.203 | 340 | OVERO -2.8% | |
| Tre Harris LAC vs ARI | WR | LAC vs ARI | 3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.126 | 0.155 | 475 | OVERO -3.5% | |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs ARI | TE | LAC vs ARI | 1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.070 | 0.128 | 600 | OVERO -4.7% | |
| Trey McBride ARI @ LAC | TE | ARI vs LAC | 1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.221 | 0.275 | 225 | OVERO -6.2% | |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs ARI | RB | LAC vs ARI | 1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.501 | 0.521 | -140 | OVERO -7.3% | |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ LAC | RB | ARI vs LAC | 2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.167 | 0.271 | 230 | OVERO -8.9% | |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs ARI | RB | LAC vs ARI | 2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.128 | 0.245 | 265 | OVERO -9.3% | |
| Jeremiyah Love CHART ARI @ LAC | RB | ARI vs LAC | 1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.097 | 0.303 | 195 | OVERO -14.9% | |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ LAC | WR | ARI vs LAC | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.039 | 2200 | |||
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ LAC | WR | ARI vs LAC | 6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.056 | 1500 | |||
| Derius Davis LAC vs ARI | WR | LAC vs ARI | 6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.056 | 1500 |
Cold start. No player has in-season usage yet, so the volume model is running on last year and the depth chart, and the touchdown model uses a sharper concentration for that reason. The longshot section of the nasty board turns itself off this week: graded on 2024 and 2025 it loses in week 1 and makes money from week 2 on. Legs marked CHART are ones where the posted depth chart and the model disagree about who starts — in week 1 of 2026 the chart was right and the model was wrong every time.
Reading the columns. Proj is the model's projected value and Line is what is posted. Model and Mkt are the two probabilities of the over — the model's, and the market's after the vig is removed. Edge is the better of the two sides after vig, so a blank edge means no side clears it. Dep is the player's rank at his own position on the posted depth chart.
Projections only. Nothing here is advice, and prices move.