The Slate — NFL Prop Analytics

Anytime TD444 Rec yards399 Receptions400 Rush yards294 Pass yards57 Pass TDs58

CAR @ GB ARI @ DAL ATL @ TB BAL @ BUF CLE @ PIT IND @ JAX LV @ NYJ MIN @ DET TEN @ CIN KC @ DEN LAC @ LA NE @ MIA PHI @ WAS CHI @ SEA

Player ⇅	Pos ⇅	Matchup ⇅	Dep ⇅	Line ⇅	Proj ⇅	Model ⇅	Mkt ⇅	Over ⇅	Edge ⇅
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	4	0.5	0.3	0.262	0.078	1000	OVERO +8.8%
AJ Barner SEA vs CHI	TE	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.6	0.465	0.241	255	OVERO +8.2%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	2	0.5	0.4	0.334	0.178	400	OVERO +6.4%
Eli Raridon NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	2	0.5	0.5	0.375	0.217	310	OVERO +6.0%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	4	0.5	0.2	0.169	0.056	1500	OVERO +5.6%
Roschon Johnson CHI @ SEA	RB	CHI vs SEA	3	0.5	0.4	0.345	0.190	350	OVERO +5.3%
Elic Ayomanor TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	3	0.5	0.4	0.302	0.159	440	OVERO +5.2%
Laquon Treadwell IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.2	0.191	0.092	850	OVERO +4.1%
George Holani SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	3	0.5	0.2	0.147	0.057	1400	OVERO +4.0%
Mo Alie-Cox IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.1	0.126	0.046	1800	OVERO +3.7%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	5	0.5	0.1	0.116	0.037	2200	OVERO +3.7%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	5	0.5	0.1	0.093	0.022	4000	OVERO +3.6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.1	0.092	0.034	2500	OVERO +2.7%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE	3	0.5	0.1	0.089	0.034	2500	OVERO +2.6%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs TEN	RB	CIN vs TEN	3	0.5	0.1	0.088	0.033	2500	OVERO +2.5%
Andrew Ogletree IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	4	0.5	0.1	0.086	0.037	2250	OVERO +2.2%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.1	0.098	0.047	1750	OVERO +2.1%
Julius Chestnut TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	3	0.5	0.1	0.065	0.021	4000	OVERO +2.1%
Khalil Herbert ATL @ TB	RB	ATL vs TB		0.5	0.2	0.206	0.111	800	OVERO +1.9%
Kenny Gainwell TB vs ATL	RB	TB vs ATL	2	0.5	0.4	0.302	0.209	380	OVERO +1.9%
Nicholas Singleton TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	4	0.5	0.1	0.109	0.057	1400	OVERO +1.9%
Corey Kiner NE @ MIA	RB	NE vs MIA	3	0.5	0.4	0.307	0.222	300	OVERO +1.9%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs TEN	QB	CIN vs TEN	1	0.5	0.2	0.192	0.122	600	OVERO +1.8%
Austin Hooper ATL @ TB	TE	ATL vs TB	3	0.5	0.2	0.165	0.077	1200	OVERO +1.8%
Jahdae Walker CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	5	0.5	0.1	0.076	0.034	2400	OVERO +1.7%
Will Mallory IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.1	0.089	0.047	1750	OVERO +1.6%
DJ Giddens IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.1	0.064	0.030	2800	OVERO +1.4%
Charlie Woerner ATL @ TB	TE	ATL vs TB	2	0.5	0.1	0.124	0.063	1500	OVERO +1.3%
Nick Muse ATL @ TB	TE	ATL vs TB	4	0.5	0.1	0.095	0.035	2800	OVERO +1.2%
Sean Tucker TB vs ATL	RB	TB vs ATL	3	0.5	0.2	0.212	0.154	550	OVERO +1.2%
Tyler Warren IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.3	0.272	0.199	340	OVERO +1.2%
Justin Joly MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	4	0.5	0.0	0.047	0.022	4000	OVERO +1.1%
Michael Carter TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	5	0.5	0.2	0.142	0.095	800	OVERO +1.0%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	3	0.5	0.1	0.100	0.054	1750	OVERO +0.9%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL @ TB	QB	ATL vs TB	1	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.067	1400	OVERO +0.8%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.8	0.566	0.438	100	OVERO +0.8%
David Sills TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	5	0.5	0.1	0.097	0.063	1500	OVERO +0.7%
DJ Herman MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE		0.5	0.1	0.054	0.037	2330	OVERO +0.5%
Eric Saubert SEA vs CHI	TE	SEA vs CHI	2	0.5	0.1	0.079	0.054	1500	OVERO +0.5%
Kameron Johnson TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	6	0.5	0.0	0.045	0.022	4500	OVERO +0.5%
Kyle Pitts ATL @ TB	TE	ATL vs TB	1	0.5	0.3	0.261	0.245	310	OVERO +0.4%
Tez Johnson TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	4	0.5	0.3	0.234	0.218	360	OVERO +0.4%
Tanner Arkin NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	4	0.5	0.1	0.052	0.038	2250	OVERO +0.3%
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	1	0.5	0.9	0.610	0.464	-118	OVERO +0.3%
Daniel Bellinger TEN @ CIN	TE	TEN vs CIN	2	0.5	0.1	0.085	0.061	1300	OVERO +0.3%
Daniel Jones IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.083	950	OVERO +0.2%
Bucky Irving TB vs ATL	RB	TB vs ATL	1	0.5	0.7	0.487	0.489	105	OVERO +0.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	2	0.5	0.3	0.243	0.186	360	OVERO +0.0%
Jahan Dotson ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	2	0.5	0.2	0.186	0.201	400	OVERO -0.2%
Zachariah Branch ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	4	0.5	0.1	0.071	0.087	1050	OVERO -0.3%
Colston Loveland CHI @ SEA	TE	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.4	0.327	0.256	235	OVERO -0.3%
Ted Hurst III TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	3	0.5	0.2	0.208	0.233	330	OVERO -0.4%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.2	0.199	0.169	425	OVERO -0.5%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB vs ATL	QB	TB vs ATL	1	0.5	0.1	0.106	0.143	600	OVERO -0.7%
Cameron Latu NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	3	0.5	0.0	0.026	0.034	2500	OVERO -0.9%
Tory Horton SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	4	0.5	0.2	0.205	0.171	400	OVERO -1.0%
Gunnar Helm TEN @ CIN	TE	TEN vs CIN	1	0.5	0.2	0.145	0.127	575	OVERO -1.1%
Hunter Henry NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	1	0.5	0.5	0.387	0.335	165	OVERO -1.4%
Drew Sample CIN vs TEN	TE	CIN vs TEN	2	0.5	0.1	0.122	0.114	650	OVERO -1.5%
Calvin Ridley TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	4	0.5	0.1	0.109	0.107	700	OVERO -1.7%
Josh Downs IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.2	0.157	0.151	480	OVERO -1.8%
Chimere Dike TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	5	0.5	0.1	0.057	0.071	1100	OVERO -2.0%
Cade Otton TB vs ATL	TE	TB vs ATL	1	0.5	0.2	0.142	0.248	305	OVERO -2.0%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB vs ATL	WR	TB vs ATL	2	0.5	0.2	0.186	0.304	230	OVERO -2.3%
Efton Chism III NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA	3	0.5	0.2	0.209	0.205	333	OVERO -2.4%
Emanuel Wilson SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.2	0.196	0.186	360	OVERO -2.6%
Trevor Lawrence JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.2	0.209	0.208	320	OVERO -2.9%
Cam Ward TEN @ CIN	QB	TEN vs CIN	1	0.5	0.1	0.106	0.122	600	OVERO -2.9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.1	0.103	0.125	600	OVERO -3.0%
Keenan Allen IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.2	0.154	0.167	425	OVERO -3.1%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs TEN	TE	CIN vs TEN	1	0.5	0.3	0.272	0.252	240	OVERO -3.1%
Sam Darnold SEA vs CHI	QB	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.1	0.082	0.107	700	OVERO -3.2%
Drake Maye NE @ MIA	QB	NE vs MIA	1	0.5	0.2	0.204	0.217	310	OVERO -3.4%
Caleb Williams CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.1	0.127	0.148	480	OVERO -3.6%
Josh Cameron JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.3	0.242	0.247	255	OVERO -3.8%
Chris Bell MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	3	0.5	0.1	0.067	0.111	700	OVERO -3.8%
Sam Roush CHI @ SEA	TE	CHI vs SEA	2	0.5	0.0	0.042	0.086	900	OVERO -3.8%
Kalif Raymond CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	3	0.5	0.1	0.092	0.127	575	OVERO -4.0%
Drake London ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	1	0.5	0.2	0.190	0.409	145	OVERO -4.3%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.2	0.166	0.199	340	OVERO -4.7%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	3	0.5	0.1	0.111	0.156	450	OVERO -5.1%
Bijan Robinson ATL @ TB	RB	ATL vs TB	1	0.5	0.5	0.379	0.647	-182	OVERO -5.2%
Jakobi Meyers JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.3	0.228	0.257	240	OVERO -5.3%
Kyle Williams NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA	4	0.5	0.1	0.134	0.193	360	OVERO -5.6%
Rome Odunze CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.2	0.191	0.225	280	OVERO -5.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.2	0.171	0.219	300	OVERO -5.7%
Malik Washington MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.1	0.113	0.193	360	OVERO -6.8%
Cooper Kupp SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	3	0.5	0.2	0.147	0.209	310	OVERO -6.9%
Brenton Strange JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.3	0.232	0.292	200	OVERO -7.4%
Malik Willis MIA vs NE	QB	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.2	0.167	0.247	260	OVERO -7.5%
DeMario Douglas NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA	2	0.5	0.2	0.175	0.261	240	OVERO -8.0%
Luther Burden III CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	2	0.5	0.2	0.187	0.260	230	OVERO -8.3%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.5	0.421	0.445	-108	OVERO -8.8%
Jadarian Price SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	6	0.5	0.1	0.117	0.232	270	OVERO -10.2%
Seth McGowan IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.1	0.073	0.213	310	OVERO -10.8%
Samaje Perine CIN vs TEN	RB	CIN vs TEN	2	0.5	0.2	0.158	0.272	215	OVERO -10.8%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.2	0.197	0.363	145	OVERO -13.7%
Jonathan Taylor IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.3	0.266	0.417	110	OVERO -14.2%
Parker Washington JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.3	0.289	0.438	100	OVERO -14.4%
Tee Higgins CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	2	0.5	0.3	0.277	0.418	105	OVERO -14.8%
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	2	0.5	0.2	0.212	0.373	130	OVERO -15.0%
D'Andre Swift CHI @ SEA	RB	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.3	0.292	0.439	-105	OVERO -15.4%
Tony Pollard TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	1	0.5	0.2	0.184	0.364	135	OVERO -16.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ MIA	RB	NE vs MIA	1	0.5	0.3	0.274	0.502	-130	OVERO -18.8%
Chase Brown CIN vs TEN	RB	CIN vs TEN	1	0.5	0.3	0.288	0.484	-130	OVERO -18.9%
Josh Jacobs GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.9
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ GB	RB	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.7
Christian Watson CHART GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.4
Tucker Kraft GB vs CAR	TE	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.4
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.3
Matthew Golden GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.3
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.3
Behren Morton NE @ MIA	QB	NE vs MIA	3	No line	0.2
Anthony Richardson IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	2	No line	0.2
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ GB	TE	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.2
Darren Waller CAR @ GB	TE	CAR vs GB	2	No line	0.2
Jack Strand ATL @ TB	QB	ATL vs TB	4	No line	0.1
Mitchell Evans CAR @ GB	TE	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Jalen Coker CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	2	No line	0.1
Haynes King CAR @ GB	QB	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Miller Moss CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA		No line	0.1
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ GB	RB	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Case Keenum CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA	3	No line	0.1
Kyle McCord MIA vs NE	QB	MIA vs NE	2	No line	0.1
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB		No line	0.1
Easton Stick TB vs ATL	QB	TB vs ATL		No line	0.1
John Metchie III CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	4	No line	0.1
Savion Williams GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	3	No line	0.1
Josh Johnson CIN vs TEN	QB	CIN vs TEN		No line	0.1
Jalon Daniels TB vs ATL	QB	TB vs ATL	2	No line	0.1
Tommy DeVito NE @ MIA	QB	NE vs MIA	2	No line	0.1
Bryce Young CAR @ GB	QB	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.1
Josh Williams TB vs ATL	RB	TB vs ATL		No line	0.1
Jordan Love GB vs CAR	QB	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.1
Pierre Strong GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	3	No line	0.1
Kenny Pickett CAR @ GB	QB	CAR vs GB	2	No line	0.1
Quinn Ewers JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND	2	No line	0.1
Riley Leonard IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	3	No line	0.1
Erick All CIN vs TEN	TE	CIN vs TEN	3	No line	0.1
Joe Flacco CIN vs TEN	QB	CIN vs TEN	2	No line	0.1
Tyson Bagent CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA	2	No line	0.1
Jalen Hurd NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA		No line	0.1
Jalen Milroe SEA vs CHI	QB	SEA vs CHI	3	No line	0.1
Drew Lock SEA vs CHI	QB	SEA vs CHI	2	No line	0.1
Cole Kmet CHI @ SEA	TE	CHI vs SEA	3	No line	0.1
Tua Tagovailoa ATL @ TB	QB	ATL vs TB	2	No line	0.1
K.J. Osborn TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN		No line	0.1
Nick Mullens JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND		No line	0.1
Tyrod Taylor GB vs CAR	QB	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.1
Jonnu Smith GB vs CAR	TE	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.1
Mitchell Trubisky TEN @ CIN	QB	TEN vs CIN	2	No line	0.1
Kaleb Johnson GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	4	No line	0.1
Carlos Washington MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE		No line	0.1
Coleman Owen GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	6	No line	0.0
Josh Whyle GB vs CAR	TE	GB vs CAR	4	No line	0.0
Anthony Gould IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	6	0.5	0.0		0.038	2200
Ashton Dulin IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	4	0.5	0.0		0.045	1850
Bauer Sharp TB vs ATL	TE	TB vs ATL	4	0.5	0.0		0.039	2500
Brady Russell SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI		0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
C.J. Williams JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	6	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
Carnell Tate TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	1	0.5	0.0		0.202	325
Chris Blair ATL @ TB	WR	ATL vs TB	5	0.5	0.0		0.039	2500
Colbie Young CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	5	0.5	0.0		0.057	1400
David Martin-Robinson TEN @ CIN	TE	TEN vs CIN	3	0.5	0.0		0.011	7500
Deion Burks IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	5	0.5	0.0		0.047	1750
Irvin Charles SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	5	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
Jack Endries CIN vs TEN	TE	CIN vs TEN	5	0.5	0.0		0.057	1400
Jared Wayne MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	6	0.5	0.0		0.022	4000
Jaylen Wright MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE	2	0.5	0.0		0.137	550
Ko Kieft TB vs ATL	TE	TB vs ATL	3	0.5	0.0		0.035	2800
Kylen Granson TEN @ CIN	TE	TEN vs CIN	4	0.5	0.0		0.011	7500
Nick Kallerup SEA vs CHI	TE	SEA vs CHI	3	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
Payne Durham TB vs ATL	TE	TB vs ATL	2	0.5	0.0		0.054	1750
Pharaoh Brown IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	5	0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
Quintin Morris JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.0		0.051	1600
Rashid Shaheed SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	2	0.5	0.0		0.114	650
Seydou Traore MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	3	0.5	0.0		0.022	4000
Tanner Koziol JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
Tyjae Spears TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	2	0.5	0.0		0.107	700
Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	4	0.5	0.0		0.086	900
Will Kacmarek MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	2	0.5	0.0		0.044	1900
Zavion Thomas CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	4	0.5	0.0		0.061	1300

Players with projections are shown even without a sportsbook line. “No line” means none was saved in the latest snapshot; odds and edges stay blank. Select Priced only to show posted lines.

Not expected to play — A.J. Brown (NE, out); TreVeyon Henderson (NE, out). Entered by hand from outside the injury report. Their workload is not reallocated to teammates, so every projection on their team still assumes they play. Why

Projections only, not advice — prices move. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET

2026 Week 8