The Slate — NFL Prop Analytics

Anytime TD444 Rec yards399 Receptions400 Rush yards294 Pass yards57 Pass TDs58

CAR @ GB ARI @ DAL ATL @ TB BAL @ BUF CLE @ PIT IND @ JAX LV @ NYJ MIN @ DET TEN @ CIN KC @ DEN LAC @ LA NE @ MIA PHI @ WAS CHI @ SEA

Player ⇅	Pos ⇅	Matchup ⇅	Dep ⇅	Line ⇅	Proj ⇅	Model ⇅	Mkt ⇅	Over ⇅	Edge ⇅
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	4	0.5	0.3	0.262	0.078	1000	OVERO +8.8%
AJ Barner SEA vs CHI	TE	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.6	0.465	0.241	255	OVERO +8.2%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	2	0.5	0.4	0.334	0.178	400	OVERO +6.4%
Eli Raridon NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	2	0.5	0.5	0.375	0.217	310	OVERO +6.0%
Justin Herbert LAC @ LA	QB	LAC vs LA	1	0.5	0.3	0.270	0.119	600	OVERO +5.9%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	4	0.5	0.2	0.169	0.056	1500	OVERO +5.6%
Roschon Johnson CHI @ SEA	RB	CHI vs SEA	3	0.5	0.4	0.345	0.190	350	OVERO +5.3%
Elic Ayomanor TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	3	0.5	0.4	0.302	0.159	440	OVERO +5.2%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ LA	TE	LAC vs LA	2	0.5	0.3	0.233	0.111	650	OVERO +4.5%
Laquon Treadwell IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.2	0.191	0.092	850	OVERO +4.1%
George Holani SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	3	0.5	0.2	0.147	0.057	1400	OVERO +4.0%
Mo Alie-Cox IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.1	0.126	0.046	1800	OVERO +3.7%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	5	0.5	0.1	0.116	0.037	2200	OVERO +3.7%
Dean Connors LA vs LAC	RB	LA vs LAC	3	0.5	0.1	0.116	0.036	2200	OVERO +3.7%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	5	0.5	0.1	0.093	0.022	4000	OVERO +3.6%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	6	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.036	2200	OVERO +3.2%
Colby Parkinson LA vs LAC	TE	LA vs LAC	2	0.5	0.4	0.328	0.198	320	OVERO +3.2%
Ameer Abdullah JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.1	0.092	0.034	2500	OVERO +2.7%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE	3	0.5	0.1	0.089	0.034	2500	OVERO +2.6%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs TEN	RB	CIN vs TEN	3	0.5	0.1	0.088	0.033	2500	OVERO +2.5%
Andrew Ogletree IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	4	0.5	0.1	0.086	0.037	2250	OVERO +2.2%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.1	0.098	0.047	1750	OVERO +2.1%
Julius Chestnut TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	3	0.5	0.1	0.065	0.021	4000	OVERO +2.1%
Scott Matlock LAC @ LA	RB	LAC vs LA		0.5	0.1	0.062	0.018	4500	OVERO +2.0%
Nicholas Singleton TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	4	0.5	0.1	0.109	0.057	1400	OVERO +1.9%
Corey Kiner NE @ MIA	RB	NE vs MIA	3	0.5	0.4	0.307	0.222	300	OVERO +1.9%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs TEN	QB	CIN vs TEN	1	0.5	0.2	0.192	0.122	600	OVERO +1.8%
Jahdae Walker CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	5	0.5	0.1	0.076	0.034	2400	OVERO +1.7%
Will Mallory IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.1	0.089	0.047	1750	OVERO +1.6%
DJ Giddens IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.1	0.064	0.030	2800	OVERO +1.4%
Tyler Warren IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.3	0.272	0.199	340	OVERO +1.2%
Justin Joly MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	4	0.5	0.0	0.047	0.022	4000	OVERO +1.1%
Michael Carter TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	5	0.5	0.2	0.142	0.095	800	OVERO +1.0%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.8	0.566	0.438	100	OVERO +0.8%
DJ Herman MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE		0.5	0.1	0.054	0.037	2330	OVERO +0.5%
Eric Saubert SEA vs CHI	TE	SEA vs CHI	2	0.5	0.1	0.079	0.054	1500	OVERO +0.5%
Tanner Arkin NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	4	0.5	0.1	0.052	0.038	2250	OVERO +0.3%
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	1	0.5	0.9	0.610	0.464	-118	OVERO +0.3%
Daniel Bellinger TEN @ CIN	TE	TEN vs CIN	2	0.5	0.1	0.085	0.061	1300	OVERO +0.3%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	4	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.076	1000	OVERO +0.2%
Daniel Jones IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.083	950	OVERO +0.2%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ LA	RB	LAC vs LA	3	0.5	0.2	0.190	0.139	500	OVERO +0.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	2	0.5	0.3	0.243	0.186	360	OVERO +0.0%
Colston Loveland CHI @ SEA	TE	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.4	0.327	0.256	235	OVERO -0.3%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.2	0.199	0.169	425	OVERO -0.5%
Matthew Stafford LA vs LAC	QB	LA vs LAC	1	0.5	0.0	0.040	0.035	2250	OVERO -0.5%
Cameron Latu NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	3	0.5	0.0	0.026	0.034	2500	OVERO -0.9%
Max Klare LA vs LAC	TE	LA vs LAC	4	0.5	0.0	0.031	0.035	2250	OVERO -0.9%
Tory Horton SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	4	0.5	0.2	0.205	0.171	400	OVERO -1.0%
Gunnar Helm TEN @ CIN	TE	TEN vs CIN	1	0.5	0.2	0.145	0.127	575	OVERO -1.1%
Hunter Henry NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	1	0.5	0.5	0.387	0.335	165	OVERO -1.4%
Drew Sample CIN vs TEN	TE	CIN vs TEN	2	0.5	0.1	0.122	0.114	650	OVERO -1.5%
Calvin Ridley TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	4	0.5	0.1	0.109	0.107	700	OVERO -1.7%
Josh Downs IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.2	0.157	0.151	480	OVERO -1.8%
Chimere Dike TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	5	0.5	0.1	0.057	0.071	1100	OVERO -2.0%
Efton Chism III NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA	3	0.5	0.2	0.209	0.205	333	OVERO -2.4%
Emanuel Wilson SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.2	0.196	0.186	360	OVERO -2.6%
Trevor Lawrence JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.2	0.209	0.208	320	OVERO -2.9%
Cam Ward TEN @ CIN	QB	TEN vs CIN	1	0.5	0.1	0.106	0.122	600	OVERO -2.9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.1	0.103	0.125	600	OVERO -3.0%
Keenan Allen IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.2	0.154	0.167	425	OVERO -3.1%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs TEN	TE	CIN vs TEN	1	0.5	0.3	0.272	0.252	240	OVERO -3.1%
Sam Darnold SEA vs CHI	QB	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.1	0.082	0.107	700	OVERO -3.2%
Drake Maye NE @ MIA	QB	NE vs MIA	1	0.5	0.2	0.204	0.217	310	OVERO -3.4%
Caleb Williams CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.1	0.127	0.148	480	OVERO -3.6%
Josh Cameron JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.3	0.242	0.247	255	OVERO -3.8%
Chris Bell MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	3	0.5	0.1	0.067	0.111	700	OVERO -3.8%
Sam Roush CHI @ SEA	TE	CHI vs SEA	2	0.5	0.0	0.042	0.086	900	OVERO -3.8%
Blake Corum LA vs LAC	RB	LA vs LAC	2	0.5	0.4	0.341	0.302	175	OVERO -4.0%
Tutu Atwell LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	4	0.5	0.0	0.041	0.083	900	OVERO -4.0%
Kalif Raymond CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	3	0.5	0.1	0.092	0.127	575	OVERO -4.0%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ LA	RB	LAC vs LA	2	0.5	0.1	0.078	0.111	650	OVERO -4.1%
Davis Allen LA vs LAC	TE	LA vs LAC	3	0.5	0.2	0.210	0.208	300	OVERO -4.1%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.2	0.166	0.199	340	OVERO -4.7%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	3	0.5	0.1	0.111	0.156	450	OVERO -5.1%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ LA	TE	LAC vs LA	1	0.5	0.1	0.080	0.128	550	OVERO -5.2%
Jakobi Meyers JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.3	0.228	0.257	240	OVERO -5.3%
Kyle Williams NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA	4	0.5	0.1	0.134	0.193	360	OVERO -5.6%
Rome Odunze CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.2	0.191	0.225	280	OVERO -5.7%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	2	0.5	0.1	0.124	0.166	400	OVERO -5.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.2	0.171	0.219	300	OVERO -5.7%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	1	0.5	0.2	0.178	0.216	285	OVERO -6.5%
Malik Washington MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.1	0.113	0.193	360	OVERO -6.8%
Cooper Kupp SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	3	0.5	0.2	0.147	0.209	310	OVERO -6.9%
Kyren Williams LA vs LAC	RB	LA vs LAC	1	0.5	0.7	0.516	0.470	-130	OVERO -7.0%
Brenton Strange JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.3	0.232	0.292	200	OVERO -7.4%
Malik Willis MIA vs NE	QB	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.2	0.167	0.247	260	OVERO -7.5%
DeMario Douglas NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA	2	0.5	0.2	0.175	0.261	240	OVERO -8.0%
Konata Mumpfield LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	2	0.5	0.1	0.060	0.151	450	OVERO -8.1%
Luther Burden III CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	2	0.5	0.2	0.187	0.260	230	OVERO -8.3%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	1	0.5	0.5	0.421	0.445	-108	OVERO -8.8%
Tre Harris LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	3	0.5	0.1	0.076	0.177	370	OVERO -9.1%
Jadarian Price SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	6	0.5	0.1	0.117	0.232	270	OVERO -10.2%
Seth McGowan IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.1	0.073	0.213	310	OVERO -10.8%
Samaje Perine CIN vs TEN	RB	CIN vs TEN	2	0.5	0.2	0.158	0.272	215	OVERO -10.8%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ LA	RB	LAC vs LA	1	0.5	0.2	0.145	0.268	210	OVERO -12.2%
Tyler Higbee LA vs LAC	TE	LA vs LAC	1	0.5	0.1	0.115	0.256	225	OVERO -12.9%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.2	0.197	0.363	145	OVERO -13.7%
Jonathan Taylor IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.3	0.266	0.417	110	OVERO -14.2%
Parker Washington JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.3	0.289	0.438	100	OVERO -14.4%
Tee Higgins CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	2	0.5	0.3	0.277	0.418	105	OVERO -14.8%
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	2	0.5	0.2	0.212	0.373	130	OVERO -15.0%
D'Andre Swift CHI @ SEA	RB	CHI vs SEA	1	0.5	0.3	0.292	0.439	-105	OVERO -15.4%
Tony Pollard TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	1	0.5	0.2	0.184	0.364	135	OVERO -16.0%
Puka Nacua LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	1	0.5	0.3	0.283	0.445	-115	OVERO -17.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ MIA	RB	NE vs MIA	1	0.5	0.3	0.274	0.502	-130	OVERO -18.8%
Chase Brown CIN vs TEN	RB	CIN vs TEN	1	0.5	0.3	0.288	0.484	-130	OVERO -18.9%
Josh Jacobs GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.9
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ GB	RB	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.7
Christian Watson CHART GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.4
Tucker Kraft GB vs CAR	TE	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.4
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.3
Matthew Golden GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.3
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.3
Behren Morton NE @ MIA	QB	NE vs MIA	3	No line	0.2
Anthony Richardson IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	2	No line	0.2
Ty Simpson LA vs LAC	QB	LA vs LAC	3	No line	0.2
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ GB	TE	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.2
Darren Waller CAR @ GB	TE	CAR vs GB	2	No line	0.2
Mitchell Evans CAR @ GB	TE	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Jalen Coker CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	2	No line	0.1
Haynes King CAR @ GB	QB	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Stetson Bennett LA vs LAC	QB	LA vs LAC	2	No line	0.1
Miller Moss CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA		No line	0.1
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ LA	QB	LAC vs LA	2	No line	0.1
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ GB	RB	CAR vs GB	3	No line	0.1
Case Keenum CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA	3	No line	0.1
Kyle McCord MIA vs NE	QB	MIA vs NE	2	No line	0.1
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB		No line	0.1
John Metchie III CAR @ GB	WR	CAR vs GB	4	No line	0.1
Savion Williams GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	3	No line	0.1
Josh Johnson CIN vs TEN	QB	CIN vs TEN		No line	0.1
Tommy DeVito NE @ MIA	QB	NE vs MIA	2	No line	0.1
Bryce Young CAR @ GB	QB	CAR vs GB	1	No line	0.1
Jordan Love GB vs CAR	QB	GB vs CAR	1	No line	0.1
Pierre Strong GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	3	No line	0.1
Kenny Pickett CAR @ GB	QB	CAR vs GB	2	No line	0.1
Quinn Ewers JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND	2	No line	0.1
Riley Leonard IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	3	No line	0.1
Erick All CIN vs TEN	TE	CIN vs TEN	3	No line	0.1
Joe Flacco CIN vs TEN	QB	CIN vs TEN	2	No line	0.1
Tyson Bagent CHI @ SEA	QB	CHI vs SEA	2	No line	0.1
Jalen Hurd NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA		No line	0.1
Jalen Milroe SEA vs CHI	QB	SEA vs CHI	3	No line	0.1
Drew Lock SEA vs CHI	QB	SEA vs CHI	2	No line	0.1
Cole Kmet CHI @ SEA	TE	CHI vs SEA	3	No line	0.1
K.J. Osborn TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN		No line	0.1
Nick Mullens JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND		No line	0.1
Tyrod Taylor GB vs CAR	QB	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.1
Jonnu Smith GB vs CAR	TE	GB vs CAR	2	No line	0.1
Mitchell Trubisky TEN @ CIN	QB	TEN vs CIN	2	No line	0.1
Kaleb Johnson GB vs CAR	RB	GB vs CAR	4	No line	0.1
Carlos Washington MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE		No line	0.1
Coleman Owen GB vs CAR	WR	GB vs CAR	6	No line	0.0
Josh Whyle GB vs CAR	TE	GB vs CAR	4	No line	0.0
Alex Bachman LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	6	0.5	0.0		0.020	4000
Anthony Gould IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	6	0.5	0.0		0.038	2200
Ashton Dulin IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	4	0.5	0.0		0.045	1850
Brady Russell SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI		0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
Brenen Thompson LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	5	0.5	0.0		0.044	1800
C.J. Williams JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	6	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
CJ Daniels LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	5	0.5	0.0		0.023	3500
Carnell Tate TEN @ CIN	WR	TEN vs CIN	1	0.5	0.0		0.202	325
Colbie Young CIN vs TEN	WR	CIN vs TEN	5	0.5	0.0		0.057	1400
David Martin-Robinson TEN @ CIN	TE	TEN vs CIN	3	0.5	0.0		0.011	7500
Deion Burks IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	5	0.5	0.0		0.047	1750
Derius Davis LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	7	0.5	0.0		0.020	4000
Hayden Rucci LAC @ LA	TE	LAC vs LA	3	0.5	0.0		0.035	2250
Irvin Charles SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	5	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
Jack Endries CIN vs TEN	TE	CIN vs TEN	5	0.5	0.0		0.057	1400
Jared Wayne MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	6	0.5	0.0		0.022	4000
Jaylen Wright MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE	2	0.5	0.0		0.137	550
Jordan Whittington LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	3	0.5	0.0		0.083	900
Kylen Granson TEN @ CIN	TE	TEN vs CIN	4	0.5	0.0		0.011	7500
Nick Kallerup SEA vs CHI	TE	SEA vs CHI	3	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
Pharaoh Brown IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	5	0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
Quintin Morris JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.0		0.051	1600
Rashid Shaheed SEA vs CHI	WR	SEA vs CHI	2	0.5	0.0		0.114	650
Seydou Traore MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	3	0.5	0.0		0.022	4000
Tanner Koziol JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
Tyjae Spears TEN @ CIN	RB	TEN vs CIN	2	0.5	0.0		0.107	700
Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs CHI	RB	SEA vs CHI	4	0.5	0.0		0.086	900
Will Kacmarek MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	2	0.5	0.0		0.044	1900
Zavion Thomas CHI @ SEA	WR	CHI vs SEA	4	0.5	0.0		0.061	1300

Players with projections are shown even without a sportsbook line. “No line” means none was saved in the latest snapshot; odds and edges stay blank. Select Priced only to show posted lines.

Not expected to play — A.J. Brown (NE, out); TreVeyon Henderson (NE, out). Entered by hand from outside the injury report. Their workload is not reallocated to teammates, so every projection on their team still assumes they play. Why

Projections only, not advice — prices move. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET

2026 Week 8