The Slate — NFL Prop Analytics

Anytime TD444 Rec yards399 Receptions400 Rush yards294 Pass yards57 Pass TDs58

CAR @ GB ARI @ DAL ATL @ TB BAL @ BUF CLE @ PIT IND @ JAX LV @ NYJ MIN @ DET TEN @ CIN KC @ DEN LAC @ LA NE @ MIA PHI @ WAS CHI @ SEA

Player ⇅	Pos ⇅	Matchup ⇅	Dep ⇅	Line ⇅	Proj ⇅	Model ⇅	Mkt ⇅	Over ⇅	Edge ⇅
Caleb Douglas MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	2	0.5	0.4	0.334	0.178	400	OVERO +6.4%
Eli Raridon NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	2	0.5	0.5	0.375	0.217	310	OVERO +6.0%
Justin Herbert LAC @ LA	QB	LAC vs LA	1	0.5	0.3	0.270	0.119	600	OVERO +5.9%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	4	0.5	0.2	0.169	0.056	1500	OVERO +5.6%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ PIT	RB	CLE vs PIT	3	0.5	0.2	0.140	0.038	2250	OVERO +5.2%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ LA	TE	LAC vs LA	2	0.5	0.3	0.233	0.111	650	OVERO +4.5%
Audric Estimé CLE @ PIT	RB	CLE vs PIT	4	0.5	0.1	0.122	0.038	2250	OVERO +4.2%
Laquon Treadwell IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.2	0.191	0.092	850	OVERO +4.1%
Malik Benson LV @ NYJ	WR	LV vs NYJ	5	0.5	0.1	0.128	0.038	2000	OVERO +4.0%
Mo Alie-Cox IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.1	0.126	0.046	1800	OVERO +3.7%
Dean Connors LA vs LAC	RB	LA vs LAC	3	0.5	0.1	0.116	0.036	2200	OVERO +3.7%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	5	0.5	0.1	0.093	0.022	4000	OVERO +3.6%
Lew Nichols III PIT vs CLE	RB	PIT vs CLE	4	0.5	0.1	0.085	0.018	5000	OVERO +3.5%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	6	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.036	2200	OVERO +3.2%
Colby Parkinson LA vs LAC	TE	LA vs LAC	2	0.5	0.4	0.328	0.198	320	OVERO +3.2%
Cody White LV @ NYJ	WR	LV vs NYJ	3	0.5	0.1	0.125	0.050	1500	OVERO +2.9%
Ameer Abdullah JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.1	0.092	0.034	2500	OVERO +2.7%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs LV	TE	NYJ vs LV	3	0.5	0.1	0.110	0.042	1800	OVERO +2.7%
Germie Bernard PIT vs CLE	WR	PIT vs CLE	2	0.5	0.4	0.312	0.219	310	OVERO +2.6%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE	3	0.5	0.1	0.089	0.034	2500	OVERO +2.6%
Andrew Ogletree IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	4	0.5	0.1	0.086	0.037	2250	OVERO +2.2%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.1	0.098	0.047	1750	OVERO +2.1%
Scott Matlock LAC @ LA	RB	LAC vs LA		0.5	0.1	0.062	0.018	4500	OVERO +2.0%
Corey Kiner NE @ MIA	RB	NE vs MIA	3	0.5	0.4	0.307	0.222	300	OVERO +1.9%
Will Mallory IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.1	0.089	0.047	1750	OVERO +1.6%
Aaron Rodgers PIT vs CLE	QB	PIT vs CLE	1	0.5	0.1	0.075	0.038	2250	OVERO +1.6%
DJ Giddens IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	3	0.5	0.1	0.064	0.030	2800	OVERO +1.4%
Kirk Cousins LV @ NYJ	QB	LV vs NYJ	1	0.5	0.1	0.062	0.026	3000	OVERO +1.3%
Tyler Warren IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.3	0.272	0.199	340	OVERO +1.2%
Eli Heidenreich PIT vs CLE	RB	PIT vs CLE	5	0.5	0.1	0.068	0.039	2200	OVERO +1.1%
Justin Joly MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	4	0.5	0.0	0.047	0.022	4000	OVERO +1.1%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.8	0.566	0.438	100	OVERO +0.8%
DJ Herman MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE		0.5	0.1	0.054	0.037	2330	OVERO +0.5%
Tanner Arkin NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	4	0.5	0.1	0.052	0.038	2250	OVERO +0.3%
Pat Freiermuth PIT vs CLE	TE	PIT vs CLE	2	0.5	0.3	0.240	0.195	360	OVERO +0.2%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	4	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.076	1000	OVERO +0.2%
Daniel Jones IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.1	0.108	0.083	950	OVERO +0.2%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ LA	RB	LAC vs LA	3	0.5	0.2	0.190	0.139	500	OVERO +0.0%
Blake Whiteheart CLE @ PIT	TE	CLE vs PIT	2	0.5	0.0	0.043	0.038	2250	OVERO -0.2%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.2	0.199	0.169	425	OVERO -0.5%
Matthew Stafford LA vs LAC	QB	LA vs LAC	1	0.5	0.0	0.040	0.035	2250	OVERO -0.5%
Dylan Laube LV @ NYJ	RB	LV vs NYJ	3	0.5	0.1	0.060	0.050	1500	OVERO -0.7%
Jalen Nailor LV @ NYJ	WR	LV vs NYJ	2	0.5	0.2	0.157	0.119	575	OVERO -0.9%
Cameron Latu NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	3	0.5	0.0	0.026	0.034	2500	OVERO -0.9%
Max Klare LA vs LAC	TE	LA vs LAC	4	0.5	0.0	0.031	0.035	2250	OVERO -0.9%
Denzel Boston CLE @ PIT	WR	CLE vs PIT	1	0.5	0.3	0.260	0.230	290	OVERO -1.0%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT vs CLE	TE	PIT vs CLE	1	0.5	0.3	0.236	0.211	325	OVERO -1.1%
Ben Skowronek PIT vs CLE	WR	PIT vs CLE	3	0.5	0.1	0.050	0.060	1400	OVERO -1.2%
Geno Smith NYJ vs LV	QB	NYJ vs LV	1	0.5	0.1	0.082	0.073	1000	OVERO -1.3%
Hunter Henry NE @ MIA	TE	NE vs MIA	1	0.5	0.5	0.387	0.335	165	OVERO -1.4%
Josh Downs IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.2	0.157	0.151	480	OVERO -1.8%
Efton Chism III NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA	3	0.5	0.2	0.209	0.205	333	OVERO -2.4%
Braelon Allen NYJ vs LV	RB	NYJ vs LV	2	0.5	0.8	0.551	0.410	-105	OVERO -2.5%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs LV	TE	NYJ vs LV	1	0.5	0.2	0.179	0.154	420	OVERO -2.5%
Deshaun Watson CLE @ PIT	QB	CLE vs PIT	1	0.5	0.1	0.134	0.150	500	OVERO -2.6%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs LV	WR	NYJ vs LV	2	0.5	0.3	0.244	0.200	300	OVERO -2.6%
Trevor Lawrence JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.2	0.209	0.208	320	OVERO -2.9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.1	0.103	0.125	600	OVERO -3.0%
Keenan Allen IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.2	0.154	0.167	425	OVERO -3.1%
Jerry Jeudy CLE @ PIT	WR	CLE vs PIT	3	0.5	0.1	0.063	0.100	800	OVERO -3.2%
Dylan Sampson CLE @ PIT	RB	CLE vs PIT	2	0.5	0.1	0.084	0.120	650	OVERO -3.3%
Drake Maye NE @ MIA	QB	NE vs MIA	1	0.5	0.2	0.204	0.217	310	OVERO -3.4%
Josh Cameron JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.3	0.242	0.247	255	OVERO -3.8%
Chris Bell MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	3	0.5	0.1	0.067	0.111	700	OVERO -3.8%
Blake Corum LA vs LAC	RB	LA vs LAC	2	0.5	0.4	0.341	0.302	175	OVERO -4.0%
Tutu Atwell LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	4	0.5	0.0	0.041	0.083	900	OVERO -4.0%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ LA	RB	LAC vs LA	2	0.5	0.1	0.078	0.111	650	OVERO -4.1%
Davis Allen LA vs LAC	TE	LA vs LAC	3	0.5	0.2	0.210	0.208	300	OVERO -4.1%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs LV	RB	NYJ vs LV	3	0.5	0.1	0.090	0.114	600	OVERO -4.2%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs LV	TE	NYJ vs LV	2	0.5	0.1	0.097	0.123	550	OVERO -4.5%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.2	0.166	0.199	340	OVERO -4.7%
Quinshon Judkins CLE @ PIT	RB	CLE vs PIT	1	0.5	0.5	0.364	0.374	140	OVERO -4.8%
DK Metcalf PIT vs CLE	WR	PIT vs CLE	1	0.5	0.3	0.231	0.268	235	OVERO -5.1%
Tre Tucker LV @ NYJ	WR	LV vs NYJ	1	0.5	0.2	0.215	0.213	275	OVERO -5.2%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ LA	TE	LAC vs LA	1	0.5	0.1	0.080	0.128	550	OVERO -5.2%
Jakobi Meyers JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.3	0.228	0.257	240	OVERO -5.3%
Kyle Williams NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA	4	0.5	0.1	0.134	0.193	360	OVERO -5.6%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	2	0.5	0.1	0.124	0.166	400	OVERO -5.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX vs IND	RB	JAX vs IND	2	0.5	0.2	0.171	0.219	300	OVERO -5.7%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	1	0.5	0.2	0.178	0.216	285	OVERO -6.5%
Malik Washington MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.1	0.113	0.193	360	OVERO -6.8%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ PIT	TE	CLE vs PIT	1	0.5	0.1	0.127	0.209	330	OVERO -6.9%
Kyren Williams LA vs LAC	RB	LA vs LAC	1	0.5	0.7	0.516	0.470	-130	OVERO -7.0%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ NYJ	RB	LV vs NYJ	1	0.5	0.6	0.468	0.410	-105	OVERO -7.0%
Brenton Strange JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.3	0.232	0.292	200	OVERO -7.4%
Malik Willis MIA vs NE	QB	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.2	0.167	0.247	260	OVERO -7.5%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs LV	WR	NYJ vs LV	3	0.5	0.1	0.093	0.160	400	OVERO -7.7%
Rico Dowdle PIT vs CLE	RB	PIT vs CLE	2	0.5	0.1	0.129	0.225	300	OVERO -7.8%
Michael Mayer LV @ NYJ	TE	LV vs NYJ	2	0.5	0.1	0.105	0.170	370	OVERO -7.8%
DeMario Douglas NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA	2	0.5	0.2	0.175	0.261	240	OVERO -8.0%
Konata Mumpfield LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	2	0.5	0.1	0.060	0.151	450	OVERO -8.1%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ NYJ	RB	LV vs NYJ	2	0.5	0.1	0.111	0.182	340	OVERO -8.4%
KC Concepcion CLE @ PIT	WR	CLE vs PIT	2	0.5	0.1	0.079	0.195	360	OVERO -8.6%
Tre Harris LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	3	0.5	0.1	0.076	0.177	370	OVERO -9.1%
Seth McGowan IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	2	0.5	0.1	0.073	0.213	310	OVERO -10.8%
Jaylen Warren PIT vs CLE	RB	PIT vs CLE	1	0.5	0.3	0.273	0.408	120	OVERO -12.1%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ LA	RB	LAC vs LA	1	0.5	0.2	0.145	0.268	210	OVERO -12.2%
Tyler Higbee LA vs LAC	TE	LA vs LAC	1	0.5	0.1	0.115	0.256	225	OVERO -12.9%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE	1	0.5	0.2	0.197	0.363	145	OVERO -13.7%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs LV	WR	NYJ vs LV	1	0.5	0.2	0.151	0.276	190	OVERO -13.8%
Jonathan Taylor IND @ JAX	RB	IND vs JAX	1	0.5	0.3	0.266	0.417	110	OVERO -14.2%
Parker Washington JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	1	0.5	0.3	0.289	0.438	100	OVERO -14.4%
Brock Bowers LV @ NYJ	TE	LV vs NYJ	1	0.5	0.3	0.286	0.381	110	OVERO -14.7%
Puka Nacua LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	1	0.5	0.3	0.283	0.445	-115	OVERO -17.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ MIA	RB	NE vs MIA	1	0.5	0.3	0.274	0.502	-130	OVERO -18.8%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs LV	RB	NYJ vs LV	1	0.5	0.2	0.211	0.428	-115	OVERO -22.6%
Behren Morton NE @ MIA	QB	NE vs MIA	3	No line	0.2
Anthony Richardson IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	2	No line	0.2
Ty Simpson LA vs LAC	QB	LA vs LAC	3	No line	0.2
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs LV	QB	NYJ vs LV	2	No line	0.2
Drew Allar PIT vs CLE	QB	PIT vs CLE	4	No line	0.1
Will Howard PIT vs CLE	QB	PIT vs CLE	3	No line	0.1
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs LV	WR	NYJ vs LV		No line	0.1
Stetson Bennett LA vs LAC	QB	LA vs LAC	2	No line	0.1
Fernando Mendoza LV @ NYJ	QB	LV vs NYJ	2	No line	0.1
Roman Hemby LV @ NYJ	RB	LV vs NYJ		No line	0.1
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ LA	QB	LAC vs LA	2	No line	0.1
Kyle McCord MIA vs NE	QB	MIA vs NE	2	No line	0.1
Tommy DeVito NE @ MIA	QB	NE vs MIA	2	No line	0.1
Taylen Green CLE @ PIT	QB	CLE vs PIT	4	No line	0.1
Will Levis NYJ vs LV	QB	NYJ vs LV		No line	0.1
Aidan O'Connell LV @ NYJ	QB	LV vs NYJ	3	No line	0.1
Quinn Ewers JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND	2	No line	0.1
Riley Leonard IND @ JAX	QB	IND vs JAX	3	No line	0.1
Jalen Hurd NE @ MIA	WR	NE vs MIA		No line	0.1
Mason Rudolph PIT vs CLE	QB	PIT vs CLE	2	No line	0.1
Nick Mullens JAX vs IND	QB	JAX vs IND		No line	0.1
Carlos Washington MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE		No line	0.1
Dillon Gabriel CLE @ PIT	QB	CLE vs PIT	3	No line	0.1
Shedeur Sanders CLE @ PIT	QB	CLE vs PIT	2	No line	0.1
Alex Bachman LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	6	0.5	0.0		0.020	4000
Andrew Beck NYJ vs LV	FB	NYJ vs LV		0.5	0.0		0.026	3000
Anthony Gould IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	6	0.5	0.0		0.038	2200
Ashton Dulin IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	4	0.5	0.0		0.045	1850
Brandon Johnson PIT vs CLE	WR	PIT vs CLE		0.5	0.0		0.035	2500
Brandon Smith PIT vs CLE	WR	PIT vs CLE		0.5	0.0		0.074	1115
Brenen Thompson LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	5	0.5	0.0		0.044	1800
C.J. Williams JAX vs IND	WR	JAX vs IND	6	0.5	0.0		0.021	4000
CJ Daniels LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	5	0.5	0.0		0.023	3500
Connor Heyward LV @ NYJ	FB	LV vs NYJ	1	0.5	0.0		0.057	1300
Dareke Young LV @ NYJ	WR	LV vs NYJ	4	0.5	0.0		0.034	2250
Deion Burks IND @ JAX	WR	IND vs JAX	5	0.5	0.0		0.047	1750
Derius Davis LAC @ LA	WR	LAC vs LA	7	0.5	0.0		0.020	4000
Hayden Rucci LAC @ LA	TE	LAC vs LA	3	0.5	0.0		0.035	2250
Ian Thomas LV @ NYJ	TE	LV vs NYJ	3	0.5	0.0		0.043	1750
Isaiah Bond CLE @ PIT	WR	CLE vs PIT	4	0.5	0.0		0.038	2250
Isaiah Williams NYJ vs LV	WR	NYJ vs LV	5	0.5	0.0		0.050	1500
Jared Wayne MIA vs NE	WR	MIA vs NE	6	0.5	0.0		0.022	4000
Jaylen Wright MIA vs NE	RB	MIA vs NE	2	0.5	0.0		0.137	550
Jelani Woods NYJ vs LV	TE	NYJ vs LV	4	0.5	0.0		0.034	2250
Jordan Whittington LA vs LAC	WR	LA vs LAC	3	0.5	0.0		0.083	900
Kaden Wetjen PIT vs CLE	WR	PIT vs CLE	4	0.5	0.0		0.031	2800
Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs LV	RB	NYJ vs LV	4	0.5	0.0		0.034	2250
Malachi Corley CLE @ PIT	WR	CLE vs PIT	6	0.5	0.0		0.022	4000
Malik McClain NYJ vs LV	WR	NYJ vs LV	6	0.5	0.0		0.034	2250
Michael Burton CLE @ PIT	FB	CLE vs PIT	1	0.5	0.0		0.018	5000
Pharaoh Brown IND @ JAX	TE	IND vs JAX	5	0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
Quintin Morris JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	4	0.5	0.0		0.051	1600
Riley Nowakowski PIT vs CLE	FB	PIT vs CLE	1	0.5	0.0		0.020	4500
Robert Tonyan PIT vs CLE	TE	PIT vs CLE	3	0.5	0.0		0.022	4000
Seydou Traore MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	3	0.5	0.0		0.022	4000
Tanner Koziol JAX vs IND	TE	JAX vs IND	3	0.5	0.0		0.028	3000
Tim Patrick NYJ vs LV	WR	NYJ vs LV	4	0.5	0.0		0.042	1800
Travis Homer PIT vs CLE	RB	PIT vs CLE	3	0.5	0.0		0.022	4000
Tylan Wallace CLE @ PIT	WR	CLE vs PIT	5	0.5	0.0		0.025	3500
Will Kacmarek MIA vs NE	TE	MIA vs NE	2	0.5	0.0		0.044	1900

Players with projections are shown even without a sportsbook line. “No line” means none was saved in the latest snapshot; odds and edges stay blank. Select Priced only to show posted lines.

Not expected to play — A.J. Brown (NE, out); TreVeyon Henderson (NE, out). Entered by hand from outside the injury report. Their workload is not reallocated to teammates, so every projection on their team still assumes they play. Why

Projections only, not advice — prices move. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET

2026 Week 8