| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Line ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | Model ⇅ | Mkt ⇅ | Over ⇅ | Under ⇅ | Edge ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Davis DAL @ NYG | RB | DAL vs NYG | 2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.188 | 0.092 | 800 | OVERO +3.4% | |
| Jaxson Dart CHART NYG vs DAL | QB | NYG vs DAL | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.410 | 0.268 | 210 | OVERO +2.4% | |
| Najee Harris NYG vs DAL | RB | NYG vs DAL | 3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.165 | 0.092 | 800 | OVERO +2.1% | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ NYG | WR | DAL vs NYG | 4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.160 | 0.092 | 800 | OVERO +1.8% | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ NYG | RB | DAL vs NYG | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.051 | 0.027 | 3000 | OVERO +0.8% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL @ NYG | QB | DAL vs NYG | 1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.148 | 0.098 | 750 | OVERO +0.8% | |
| Devin Singletary NYG vs DAL | RB | NYG vs DAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.117 | 0.075 | 1000 | OVERO +0.7% | |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ NYG | WR | DAL vs NYG | 3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.151 | 0.104 | 700 | OVERO +0.5% | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ NYG | TE | DAL vs NYG | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.044 | 0.042 | 1900 | OVERO -0.7% | |
| Theo Johnson NYG vs DAL | TE | NYG vs DAL | 2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.126 | 0.104 | 700 | OVERO -0.9% | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. NYG vs DAL | WR | NYG vs DAL | 5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.113 | 0.098 | 750 | OVERO -1.2% | |
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs DAL | WR | NYG vs DAL | 3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.089 | 0.083 | 900 | OVERO -1.4% | |
| Darius Slayton NYG vs DAL | WR | NYG vs DAL | 2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.084 | 0.092 | 800 | OVERO -2.3% | |
| Malachi Fields NYG vs DAL | WR | NYG vs DAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.158 | 0.151 | 450 | OVERO -2.7% | |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ NYG | RB | DAL vs NYG | 3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.069 | 0.092 | 800 | OVERO -3.2% | |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs DAL | RB | NYG vs DAL | 2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.137 | 0.177 | 370 | OVERO -5.8% | |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ NYG | TE | DAL vs NYG | 1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.229 | 0.248 | 235 | OVERO -6.1% | |
| George Pickens DAL @ NYG | WR | DAL vs NYG | 2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.302 | 0.307 | 170 | OVERO -6.6% | |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ NYG | WR | DAL vs NYG | 1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.325 | 0.332 | 150 | OVERO -7.2% | |
| Isaiah Likely CHART NYG vs DAL | TE | NYG vs DAL | 1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.150 | 0.213 | 290 | OVERO -7.8% | |
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs DAL | RB | NYG vs DAL | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.366 | 0.386 | 115 | OVERO -9.0% | |
| Malik Nabers NYG vs DAL | WR | NYG vs DAL | 1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.187 | 0.297 | 180 | OVERO -12.1% | |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ NYG | RB | DAL vs NYG | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.420 | 0.469 | -130 | OVERO -12.3% | |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ NYG | WR | DAL vs NYG | 5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.040 | 2000 | |||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ NYG | TE | DAL vs NYG | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.042 | 1900 | |||
| Thomas Fidone II NYG vs DAL | TE | NYG vs DAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.020 | 4000 | |||
| Chris Manhertz NYG vs DAL | TE | NYG vs DAL | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.016 | 5000 | |||
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs DAL | RB | NYG vs DAL | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.027 | 3000 |
Cold start. No player has in-season usage yet, so the volume model is running on last year and the depth chart, and the touchdown model uses a sharper concentration for that reason. The longshot section of the nasty board turns itself off this week: graded on 2024 and 2025 it loses in week 1 and makes money from week 2 on. Legs marked CHART are ones where the posted depth chart and the model disagree about who starts — in week 1 of 2026 the chart was right and the model was wrong every time.
Reading the columns. Proj is the model's projected value and Line is what is posted. Model and Mkt are the two probabilities of the over — the model's, and the market's after the vig is removed. Edge is the better of the two sides after vig, so a blank edge means no side clears it. Dep is the player's rank at his own position on the posted depth chart.
Projections only. Nothing here is advice, and prices move.