| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Line ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | Model ⇅ | Mkt ⇅ | Over ⇅ | Under ⇅ | Edge ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs WAS | RB | PHI vs WAS | 2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.242 | 0.132 | 550 | OVERO +3.9% | |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs WAS | TE | PHI vs WAS | 3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.105 | 0.030 | 2800 | OVERO +3.6% | |
| Antonio Williams WAS @ PHI | WR | WAS vs PHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.166 | 0.090 | 850 | OVERO +2.7% | |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs WAS | WR | PHI vs WAS | 5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.072 | 0.030 | 2800 | OVERO +1.8% | |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS @ PHI | WR | WAS vs PHI | 4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.089 | 0.054 | 1500 | OVERO +1.0% | |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ PHI | WR | WAS vs PHI | 2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.242 | 0.179 | 380 | OVERO +0.5% | |
| Jalen Hurts CHART PHI vs WAS | QB | PHI vs WAS | 1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.515 | 0.390 | 120 | OVERO +0.4% | |
| Kaytron Allen WAS @ PHI | RB | WAS vs PHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.109 | 0.078 | 1000 | OVERO +0.4% | |
| Dyami Brown WAS @ PHI | WR | WAS vs PHI | 6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.079 | 0.061 | 1300 | OVERO -0.0% | |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs WAS | WR | PHI vs WAS | 3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.166 | 0.165 | 420 | OVERO -2.7% | |
| Jayden Daniels WAS @ PHI | QB | WAS vs PHI | 1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.253 | 0.235 | 265 | OVERO -2.9% | |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs WAS | TE | PHI vs WAS | 1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.211 | 0.235 | 265 | OVERO -5.2% | |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ PHI | TE | WAS vs PHI | 1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.068 | 0.143 | 500 | OVERO -6.5% | |
| Terry McLaurin WAS @ PHI | WR | WAS vs PHI | 1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.203 | 0.249 | 245 | OVERO -6.6% | |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs WAS | WR | PHI vs WAS | 2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.138 | 0.209 | 310 | OVERO -7.3% | |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs WAS | WR | PHI vs WAS | 1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.200 | 0.268 | 220 | OVERO -8.2% | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS @ PHI | RB | WAS vs PHI | 1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.265 | 0.337 | 155 | OVERO -9.5% | |
| Rachaad White WAS @ PHI | RB | WAS vs PHI | 2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.168 | 0.264 | 225 | OVERO -9.6% | |
| Saquon Barkley PHI vs WAS | RB | PHI vs WAS | 1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.340 | 0.493 | -135 | OVERO -16.6% | |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs WAS | TE | PHI vs WAS | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.048 | 1700 | |||
| Darius Cooper PHI vs WAS | WR | PHI vs WAS | 6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.041 | 2000 | |||
| Will Shipley PHI vs WAS | RB | PHI vs WAS | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.054 | 1500 | |||
| Treylon Burks WAS @ PHI | WR | WAS vs PHI | 5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.090 | 850 | |||
| Jaylin Lane WAS @ PHI | WR | WAS vs PHI | 7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.054 | 1500 | |||
| John Bates WAS @ PHI | TE | WAS vs PHI | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.033 | 2500 | |||
| Ben Sinnott WAS @ PHI | TE | WAS vs PHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.028 | 3000 | |||
| Colson Yankoff WAS @ PHI | TE | WAS vs PHI | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.017 | 5000 |
Cold start. No player has in-season usage yet, so the volume model is running on last year and the depth chart, and the touchdown model uses a sharper concentration for that reason. The longshot section of the nasty board turns itself off this week: graded on 2024 and 2025 it loses in week 1 and makes money from week 2 on. Legs marked CHART are ones where the posted depth chart and the model disagree about who starts — in week 1 of 2026 the chart was right and the model was wrong every time.
Reading the columns. Proj is the model's projected value and Line is what is posted. Model and Mkt are the two probabilities of the over — the model's, and the market's after the vig is removed. Edge is the better of the two sides after vig, so a blank edge means no side clears it. Dep is the player's rank at his own position on the posted depth chart.
Projections only. Nothing here is advice, and prices move.