| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 7.4 | 4–12 | 10.2 | 30% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 7.3 | 4–11 | 9.7 | 36% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 6.3 | 3–10 | 9.4 | 35% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 8.7 | 28% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 5.4 | 2–10 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 5.2 | 2–9 | 7.2 | 29% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 8.0 | 16% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.9 | 2–8 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 4.7 | 1–9 | 5.9 | 39% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 22% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 4.1 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 13% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.1 | 24% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 3.4 | 0–7 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 3.3 | 0–7 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.1 | 27% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 2.9 | 0–7 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 51% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 16% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.5 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 7% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 16% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 30% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 10% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | |
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.5 | |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 31% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 12% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 20% | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Beaux Collins ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Chris Blair ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Justin Watson KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 9% | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →