| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 93.3 | 37–162 | 18.0 | 33% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 77.7 | 39–122 | 16.4 | 52% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 64.5 | 28–107 | 17.9 | 25% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 57.4 | 26–94 | 13.3 | 46% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.6 | 10–77 | 9.8 | 16% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 36.4 | 8–73 | 9.6 | 17% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 34.2 | 8–66 | 7.2 | 16% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 30.6 | 6–64 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 28.8 | 9–52 | 6.7 | 24% |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 24.9 | 4–52 | 4.2 | 32% |
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 23.3 | 0–55 | 3.4 | 12% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 20.1 | 2–45 | 4.1 | 11% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 18.3 | 0–48 | 3.7 | 8% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.1 | 2–39 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 17.8 | 1–39 | 3.1 | 17% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 17.6 | 3–34 | 4.4 | |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 17.0 | 0–41 | 2.9 | 20% |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 15.1 | 0–34 | 2.7 | 18% |
| Haynes King CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 14.8 | 0–34 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 13.8 | 0–30 | 3.1 | 13% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 13.2 | 0–31 | 2.9 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.0 | 0–30 | 2.7 | 13% |
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.5 | 0–28 | 2.4 | 14% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 17% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 11.8 | 0–28 | 3.3 | 9% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 11.7 | 0–26 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 11.1 | 0–24 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 9.7 | 0–26 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 8.4 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 15% |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 8.3 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 6% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 8.0 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 7.7 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5.9 | 0–15 | 1.7 | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.5 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.7 | 0–14 | 1.1 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 3.9 | 0–11 | 1.1 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3.7 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 21% |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 1.7 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 21% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 1.2 | 0–1 | 0.2 | 5% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.2 | 14% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 31% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 24% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 17% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 20% |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 14% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 28% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 14% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →