✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 2 0.78 54%
Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 1 0.71 51%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 1 0.67 49%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
AJ Barner SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Kyren Williams LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 1 0.57 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 4 0.54 42%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Trey McBride ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 1 0.46 37%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 1 0.39 32%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 1 0.39 32%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 1 0.38 32%
Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 1 0.38 31%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Blake Corum LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 2 0.37 31%
Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 1 0.36 30%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 2 0.34 29%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Chris Olave NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 1 0.33 28%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 2 0.32 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Puka Nacua LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 1 0.32 27%
Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 1 0.32 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 2 0.28 24%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 1 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Tyler Shough NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 1 0.23 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 2 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 2 0.22 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Davis Allen LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 3 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 1 0.21 19%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 1 0.21 19%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 2 0.21 19%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 3 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Bryce Lance NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 3 0.20 18%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 1 0.20 18%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 6 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 1 0.18 17%
Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 1 0.18 17%
Treylon Burks WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 3 0.18 17%
Kendre Miller NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 2 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Tory Horton SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 4 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 1 0.17 16%
Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 6 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 1 0.17 15%
Audric Estimé CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 4 0.17 15%
Bam Knight ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 3 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 2 0.15 14%
Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Carson Beck ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 3 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Noah Gray KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 3 0.14 13%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 2 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Noah Fant NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 2 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 1 0.14 13%
George Holani SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 3 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 4 0.13 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 3 0.13 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 2 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 1 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 3 0.12 11%
Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 2 0.11 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 2 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 5 0.11 10%
Justin Fields KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 2 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 6 0.11 10%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 3 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 3 0.11 10%
Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 1 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 3 0.10 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 3 0.10 10%
Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 6 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 2 0.10 9%
Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 2 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 2 0.09 9%
Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Will Levis NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 3 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 3 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 2 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 3 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 4 0.08 8%
Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 1 0.08 7%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC FB NYJ vs KC 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 2 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 4 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 2 0.06 5%
Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 2 0.06 5%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
Dyami Brown WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 4 0.04 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 4 0.04 4%
John Bates WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 3 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 1 0.03 3%
Max Klare LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 4 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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