156 / 390 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.85 | 57% | ||
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.78 | 54% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.71 | 51% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.67 | 49% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.66 | 48% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.63 | 47% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.55 | 42% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.32 | 28% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.22 | 20% | |||
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.05 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET