✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 1 0.74 52%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
AJ Barner SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Kyren Williams LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 1 0.57 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 4 0.54 42%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Trey McBride ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 1 0.46 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 2 0.42 34%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 1 0.38 32%
Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 1 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 2 0.37 31%
Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 2 0.33 28%
Puka Nacua LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 1 0.32 27%
Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 1 0.32 27%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 1 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 2 0.23 20%
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 2 0.22 20%
J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Davis Allen LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 3 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 19%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 1 0.21 19%
Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 2 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Bo Nix DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 1 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 1 0.20 18%
Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 1 0.19 18%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 6 0.19 17%
Treylon Burks WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 3 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Tory Horton SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 4 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 1 0.16 15%
Bam Knight ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 3 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Darren Waller CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 2 0.16 15%
Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 2 0.15 14%
Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 2 0.15 14%
Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 3 0.15 14%
Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 3 0.15 14%
Carson Beck ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 3 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 3 0.14 13%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
George Holani SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 3 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 3 0.14 13%
Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 0.12 11%
Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 2 0.11 11%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 5 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 6 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
John Metchie III CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 4 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 1 0.11 10%
Dean Connors LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 3 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 1 0.10 10%
Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 6 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 2 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Evan Engram DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 1 0.09 9%
Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 2 0.09 9%
Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 3 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 2 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 2 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 4 0.08 8%
Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 1 0.08 7%
Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 3 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 4 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 2 0.06 6%
Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 2 0.06 5%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Dyami Brown WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 4 0.04 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 4 0.04 4%
John Bates WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 3 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 1 0.03 3%
Max Klare LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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