✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
AJ Barner SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Trey McBride ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 1 0.46 37%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 1 0.38 32%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 1 0.32 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 2 0.22 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 2 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 1 0.20 18%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Tory Horton SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 4 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Bam Knight ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 3 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 2 0.15 14%
Carson Beck ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 3 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
George Holani SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 3 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 2 0.11 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 5 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 6 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 6 0.10 10%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 3 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 2 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 4 0.08 8%
Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 2 0.06 5%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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