| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 98.1 | 28–182 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 91.9 | 33–159 | 8.9 | 42% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 91.5 | 33–160 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 78.8 | 25–141 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 77.6 | 19–148 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 74.7 | 19–141 | 7.5 | 28% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 71.2 | 17–139 | 7.9 | 32% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 67.4 | 15–130 | 6.9 | 27% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 65.9 | 13–130 | 8.2 | 23% |
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 62.4 | 28–101 | 10.0 | 37% |
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 60.5 | 16–114 | 6.9 | 24% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 57.2 | 11–115 | 6.0 | 17% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 55.3 | 14–102 | 8.4 | 25% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 54.7 | 13–107 | 6.2 | 29% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 46.1 | 13–85 | 6.4 | 21% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 41.9 | 5–88 | 5.2 | 23% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 40.7 | 6–81 | 5.6 | 14% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 40.4 | 4–85 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 39.4 | 6–82 | 5.1 | 22% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 39.3 | 0–89 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 38.4 | 10–73 | 5.6 | 18% |
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 38.0 | 7–77 | 5.2 | 33% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 36.6 | 0–87 | 4.5 | 15% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 35.2 | 2–75 | 4.1 | 10% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 34.1 | 8–66 | 4.8 | 45% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 33.6 | 0–78 | 4.4 | 12% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 33.6 | 3–71 | 4.6 | 20% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 33.3 | 5–69 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 33.2 | 3–70 | 4.2 | 10% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 32.0 | 0–71 | 4.3 | 10% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 31.1 | 4–65 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 31.1 | 2–67 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 30.5 | 3–67 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 30.3 | 0–75 | 3.8 | 11% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 30.2 | 0–67 | 3.3 | 11% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 30.0 | 0–68 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 29.9 | 5–60 | 4.3 | 13% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 29.6 | 6–59 | 4.5 | 54% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 29.2 | 0–63 | 4.5 | 8% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 28.7 | 0–72 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 27.6 | 0–61 | 3.3 | 27% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.9 | 0–62 | 3.8 | 14% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.1 | 9% |
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.3 | 31% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 25.9 | 2–54 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 25.0 | 0–61 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 25.0 | 0–62 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 24.9 | 0–55 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 24.6 | 0–60 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 24.5 | 0–56 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 21.2 | 0–57 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 20.5 | 0–54 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 19.8 | 0–49 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 19.4 | 0–47 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 19.0 | 0–51 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 18.7 | 0–49 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 18.7 | 0–46 | 2.8 | 38% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 17.6 | 0–43 | 2.6 | 8% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 17.5 | 0–47 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 17.2 | 0–45 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 16.8 | 0–44 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 16.2 | 0–45 | 2.1 | 5% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 16.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 15.7 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 15.7 | 0–44 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 15.6 | 0–43 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 15.6 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 15.5 | 0–44 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 15.4 | 0–38 | 2.8 | 35% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 15.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 13.7 | 0–42 | 1.6 | 6% |
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 13.2 | 0–38 | 1.5 | 6% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 13.2 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 13.1 | 0–33 | 2.0 | 22% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 13.0 | 0–31 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 13.0 | 0–34 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 12.6 | 0–41 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 12.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 4% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 12.0 | 0–33 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 11.9 | 0–32 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 11.5 | 0–31 | 1.9 | 9% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 11.0 | 0–29 | 1.9 | 47% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 11.0 | 0–30 | 1.8 | 13% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 10.9 | 0–29 | 1.6 | 10% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 10.7 | 0–29 | 2.0 | 23% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 10.4 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.7 | 25% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 5 | 10.0 | 0–30 | 1.2 | |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 10.0 | 0–29 | 2.1 | 15% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 9.9 | 0–27 | 1.6 | 16% |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 9.7 | 0–27 | 1.3 | 5% |
| Dillon Bell MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 9.6 | 0–31 | 1.0 | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 12% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 9.6 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 29% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Bo Melton GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.2 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 9.1 | 0–29 | 1.0 | ||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 8.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 18% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 8.5 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 8.0 | 0–24 | 1.8 | 25% |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 7.8 | 0–26 | 0.9 | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 7.6 | 0–20 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 7.5 | 0–23 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 7.1 | 0–22 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 7.0 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 9% | |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 6.6 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 6.4 | 0–20 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 1.0 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 6.2 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 6.1 | 0–22 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 6.0 | 0–18 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.6 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Irvin Charles SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 5.4 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 6% | |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 20% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 5 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 5.2 | 0–20 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 8% |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 4.9 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 4.8 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 4.8 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Tanner Arkin NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 4 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.7 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 4.6 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 4% |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 5% |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 5 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.7 | |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Patrick Herbert LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.7 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 2.3 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 4% |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Cameron Latu NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1.8 | 0–7 | 0.3 | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 34% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →