✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ Tgt ⇅ TD% ⇅
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 83.6 32–143 9.8 34%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 71.5 18–134 7.0 23%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 66.0 19–122 7.2 29%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 65.2 22–114 8.0 16%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 59.4 10–120 6.1 26%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 56.1 14–106 6.6 15%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 52.9 12–101 6.0 21%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 52.6 9–106 6.5 34%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 49.7 9–101 5.8 22%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 48.4 14–90 7.1 30%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 46.2 9–92 5.7 13%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 45.3 10–86 5.2 17%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 41.6 8–81 4.7 26%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 40.4 3–87 4.5 10%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 37.8 6–76 5.1 24%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 36.9 5–76 4.9 15%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 35.8 2–75 3.8 27%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 32.1 0–71 3.8 32%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 30.5 4–64 4.9 52%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 30.0 0–73 3.2 20%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 26.5 0–64 3.6 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 26.0 0–59 4.1 27%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 25.7 0–59 3.5 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 24.8 0–57 3.6 18%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 23.9 0–54 3.3 17%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 23.7 0–63 2.9 9%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 23.6 0–59 2.8 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 23.0 0–51 2.9 16%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 20.9 0–50 3.0 46%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 19.3 0–55 1.8 7%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 18.8 0–44 3.0 51%
Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 3 17.9 0–49 2.1
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 17.0 0–43 2.0 11%
Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 4 16.7 0–43 2.3
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 16.2 0–41 2.7 9%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 16.2 0–47 1.9 17%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 16.1 0–50 1.9 13%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 15.0 0–38 1.9 9%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 15.0 0–35 2.9 25%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 14.3 0–39 2.2 16%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 13.0 0–36 1.6 10%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 12.5 0–36 1.5 12%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 12.1 0–35 1.6 8%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 12.0 0–31 1.6 15%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 4 10.8 0–33 1.5
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 10.1 0–30 1.4 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 9.5 0–27 1.5 10%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 8.9 0–27 1.0 6%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 8.8 0–26 1.3 6%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 7.9 0–22 1.3 12%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 7.4 0–23 1.2 31%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 6.8 0–19 1.2 15%
Tyler Conklin DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 3 6.6 0–22 0.9
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 6.2 0–22 0.8 11%
Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 4 6.1 0–20 0.9
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 6.1 0–19 1.0 10%
Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 3 6.0 0–20 0.8
Lan Larison NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 4 5.9 0–18 0.9
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 5.9 0–19 1.2 20%
Ryan Miller NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 5.9 0–21 0.6
Justin Watson KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5.8 0–20 0.6
Beaux Collins ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 6 5.7 0–19 0.8
Tanner Arkin NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 4 5.7 0–19 0.7
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 5.6 0–18 0.8 3%
C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 6 5.3 0–19 0.6
Chris Blair ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 5 5.3 0–18 0.7
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 5.1 0–17 0.8 6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 5.0 0–17 0.8 16%
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 5.0 0–17 0.7 18%
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 4.8 0–15 0.8 7%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 4.3 0–14 0.7 13%
Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 3 4.2 0–15 0.6
Jackson Meeks DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 4 4.1 0–15 0.6
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 4.1 0–14 0.7 10%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 3.9 0–14 0.4 3%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 3.3 0–12 0.6 7%
Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 4 3.1 0–12 0.4
Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 6 3.0 0–12 0.3
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2.8 0–11 0.5 9%
David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 3 2.6 0–10 0.4
Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2.6 0–10 0.4
Jared Wiley KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 4 2.5 0–10 0.3
Cameron Latu NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 3 2.0 0–8 0.2
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 2.0 0–7 0.3 5%
Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 3 1.7 0–6 0.3
Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 2 0.0 0–0 0.0

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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