| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.85 | 57% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.69 | 50% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.63 | 47% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.59 | 44% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.57 | 44% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.55 | 42% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.54 | 42% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.22 | 20% | |||
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 19% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →