| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.85 | 57% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.66 | 48% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.63 | 47% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.55 | 42% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.22 | 20% | |||
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.05 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →