153 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 7.5 | 4–11 | 10.0 | 37% |
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 7.1 | 3–12 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.3 | 31% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 8.9 | 42% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 8.5 | 28% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 5.5 | 2–10 | 7.9 | 32% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 5.3 | 2–9 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 5.2 | 2–9 | 8.4 | 25% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 1–8 | 6.6 | 21% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 16% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.2 | 23% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 22% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 17% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 45% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 32% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–7 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–5 | 4.3 | 13% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 20% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 4.4 | 12% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 14% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.8 | 11% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 38% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 11% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 8% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 15% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 13% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 18% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 47% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 22% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 25% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 18% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 16% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 5% |
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 4% |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 6% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 19% |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 20% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 15% |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 8% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | ||
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% |
| Irvin Charles SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Nick Kallerup SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Simi Fehoko ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET