145 / 310 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 91.4 | 44–150 | 17.6 | 33% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 84.5 | 40–135 | 18.6 | 47% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 69.0 | 32–110 | 15.8 | 38% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 66.0 | 30–109 | 12.9 | 37% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 65.1 | 26–111 | 16.3 | 44% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 60.5 | 25–100 | 13.6 | 18% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 58.8 | 29–93 | 14.5 | 38% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 57.6 | 29–90 | 13.2 | 44% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 56.0 | 25–91 | 12.4 | 16% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 51.9 | 17–93 | 13.2 | 26% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 51.7 | 22–86 | 13.8 | 22% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 50.9 | 17–91 | 13.3 | 35% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 43.6 | 16–76 | 9.2 | 11% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 43.5 | 15–79 | 11.4 | 20% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 42.7 | 12–81 | 10.0 | 42% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 42.4 | 12–80 | 9.7 | 31% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 41.3 | 11–80 | 12.8 | 48% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 40.3 | 14–72 | 9.1 | 29% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 40.2 | 18–65 | 11.6 | 25% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 37.6 | 11–70 | 9.5 | 15% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 35.8 | 7–72 | 10.1 | 15% |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 35.7 | 10–66 | 5.6 | 19% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 33.2 | 9–62 | 7.4 | 10% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 32.7 | 6–66 | 6.7 | 10% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 30.7 | 7–62 | 6.5 | 9% | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 29.9 | 7–57 | 5.6 | 22% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 29.0 | 4–62 | 7.5 | 25% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 28.9 | 9–53 | 7.2 | 31% |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 27.0 | 2–58 | 4.1 | 19% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.5 | 4–55 | 7.8 | 19% |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 26.3 | 5–54 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 25.0 | 3–53 | 6.6 | 29% |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 22.0 | 4–44 | 5.2 | 20% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 20.6 | 2–44 | 3.4 | 17% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 19.5 | 0–48 | 4.0 | 9% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.6 | 20% |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 17.5 | 1–37 | 3.1 | 13% |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 17.3 | 0–40 | 3.3 | 8% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 16.9 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 7% |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 16.8 | 0–39 | 3.3 | 13% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 16.5 | 0–40 | 4.3 | 19% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 12% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 16.0 | 1–35 | 4.8 | 25% |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 15.6 | 1–35 | 3.2 | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 15.1 | 0–38 | 3.2 | 10% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 14.9 | 1–31 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 14.8 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 9% |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 14.0 | 0–32 | 2.5 | 10% |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 13.6 | 0–32 | 3.0 | 27% |
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 13.5 | 0–34 | 2.4 | 8% |
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 12.8 | 0–30 | 2.5 | 15% |
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 12.8 | 0–29 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 12.6 | 0–28 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 12.4 | 0–29 | 2.4 | 12% |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 12.2 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 11.6 | 0–30 | 2.5 | |
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 11.6 | 0–27 | 2.4 | 13% | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 11.1 | 0–25 | 2.6 | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 10.3 | 0–25 | 2.2 | 9% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 10.0 | 0–25 | 1.9 | 12% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 10.0 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 26% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 9.9 | 0–22 | 2.6 | |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 9.8 | 0–23 | 2.7 | 8% | |
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 9.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 9.6 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.4 | 10% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.5 | 11% | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 9.3 | 0–23 | 2.4 | 6% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 9.1 | 0–23 | 1.9 | 9% | |
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.0 | 0–22 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 8.8 | 0–21 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 8.8 | 0–23 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 7.8 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 7.5 | 0–18 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Drew Lock SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 7.0 | 0–21 | 1.1 | |
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 6.8 | 0–19 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.2 | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 1.0 | |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 5.3 | 0–15 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 27% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 5.2 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 8% | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 4.9 | 0–13 | 1.2 | 6% | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 4.1 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 32% |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 4.0 | 0–11 | 1.0 | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3.9 | 0–12 | 0.9 | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 17% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.8 | 20% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 3.3 | 0–13 | 0.6 | 8% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 11% |
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3.1 | 0–9 | 0.8 | ||
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 20% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.6 | 25% |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 18% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 2.3 | 0–7 | 1.0 | 45% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 2.1 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 16% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 1.9 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 15% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 0.5 | 29% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 1.9 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 27% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 1.8 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 27% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.8 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 18% |
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 1.6 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 42% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 1.0 | 0–4 | 0.2 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.0 | 0–1 | 0.2 | 11% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 0.4 | |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 36% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 4% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 31% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 17% |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 23% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 35% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 21% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET