✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
AJ Barner SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Kyren Williams LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 1 0.57 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 4 0.54 42%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Trey McBride ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 1 0.46 37%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 1 0.38 32%
Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 1 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 2 0.37 31%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 2 0.34 29%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Puka Nacua LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 1 0.32 27%
Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 1 0.32 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 1 0.23 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 2 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 2 0.22 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
Davis Allen LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 3 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 1 0.21 19%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 2 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 1 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 6 0.19 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Treylon Burks WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 3 0.18 17%
Tory Horton SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 4 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Bam Knight ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 3 0.16 15%
Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 2 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Carson Beck ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 3 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 3 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
George Holani SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 3 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 2 0.11 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 5 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 6 0.11 10%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 1 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 3 0.10 10%
Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 6 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 2 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 2 0.09 9%
Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 3 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 2 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 4 0.08 8%
Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 1 0.08 7%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 3 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 2 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 2 0.06 5%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
Dyami Brown WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 4 0.04 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 4 0.04 4%
John Bates WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 3 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 1 0.03 3%
Max Klare LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
GARBEDGE TIME
Reference
?  How It Works