| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.77 | 54% | ||
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.63 | 47% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.56 | 43% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.55 | 42% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.27 | 23% | ||
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 19% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake Maye NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Behren Morton NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Cole Payton PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Tommy DeVito NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jordan Love GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Tyrod Taylor GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.04 | 4% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →