| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.59 | 45% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.18 | 16% | |||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.11 | 10% | |||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.06 | 6% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →