✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
AJ Barner SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 1 0.56 43%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 2 0.48 38%
Trey McBride ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 1 0.46 37%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 0.43 35%
Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 0.42 34%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 1 0.38 32%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 1 0.36 30%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 0.34 29%
Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG TE PHI vs NYG 1 0.32 27%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.32 27%
Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 1 0.32 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 0.31 27%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 0.29 25%
Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 1 0.24 22%
Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 4 0.24 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 2 0.22 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 2 0.22 20%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 2 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 3 0.20 18%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 1 0.20 18%
Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 2 0.20 18%
Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 1 0.20 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 0.19 18%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 1 0.19 17%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Tory Horton SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 4 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 2 0.17 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Bam Knight ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 3 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 2 0.15 14%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 4 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Carson Beck ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 3 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 1 0.15 14%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 6 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
George Holani SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 3 0.14 13%
Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 1 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 0.13 13%
Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 6 0.12 11%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Cole Payton PHI vs NYG QB PHI vs NYG 2 0.12 11%
Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 4 0.12 11%
Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 2 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 2 0.11 11%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 1 0.11 11%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 5 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 6 0.11 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 0.11 10%
Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 3 0.11 10%
Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 2 0.10 10%
Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 6 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.10 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG TE PHI vs NYG 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 0.09 9%
Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 0.09 8%
Jake Haener NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 3 0.09 8%
Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG QB PHI vs NYG 3 0.09 8%
Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 3 0.09 8%
Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 3 0.08 8%
Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 2 0.08 8%
Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 5 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 3 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 2 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 4 0.08 8%
Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 3 0.08 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 3 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 2 0.06 5%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 0.04 4%
Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 4 0.04 4%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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