150 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 78.6 | 29–137 | 9.4 | 35% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 72.3 | 17–139 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 69.0 | 21–125 | 8.7 | 28% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 66.7 | 12–134 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 65.5 | 20–117 | 7.6 | 22% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 64.2 | 21–114 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 62.0 | 18–115 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 56.1 | 14–106 | 6.6 | 15% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 52.9 | 12–101 | 6.0 | 21% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 52.8 | 10–104 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 49.7 | 9–101 | 5.8 | 22% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 48.4 | 14–90 | 7.1 | 30% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 0–106 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 45.3 | 10–86 | 5.2 | 17% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 43.0 | 8–87 | 5.2 | 22% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 42.3 | 1–95 | 4.0 | 20% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 41.2 | 6–85 | 5.2 | 26% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.5 | 7–81 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 40.4 | 6–83 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 39.7 | 6–81 | 5.9 | 39% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 39.0 | 2–84 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 38.1 | 4–80 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 38.0 | 5–81 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 36.7 | 3–81 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 35.5 | 3–75 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 34.1 | 2–73 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 34.1 | 0–77 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 33.8 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 31.3 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 30.0 | 0–73 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 27.2 | 0–58 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 26.7 | 0–60 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 26.5 | 0–64 | 3.6 | 29% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 25.1 | 0–60 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 24.4 | 0–54 | 3.1 | 21% |
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 23.9 | 0–54 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 23.6 | 0–57 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 23.6 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 23.1 | 0–58 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 22.7 | 0–53 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 22.4 | 0–55 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 22.0 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 21.4 | 0–52 | 3.1 | 20% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 21.1 | 0–51 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 20.9 | 0–50 | 3.0 | 46% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 19.1 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.7 | 0–51 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 18.5 | 0–47 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 18.4 | 0–47 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 18.1 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.0 | 0–43 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.0 | 0–45 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.7 | 0–45 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 17.4 | 0–43 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 17.0 | 0–43 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 16.7 | 0–43 | 2.3 | |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 16.7 | 0–40 | 2.4 | 22% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 16.2 | 0–40 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 16.2 | 0–41 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 16.2 | 0–47 | 1.9 | 17% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 15.0 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 15.0 | 0–35 | 2.9 | 25% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 14.3 | 0–42 | 1.8 | |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 14.1 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.9 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 13.8 | 0–42 | 1.7 | |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 13.7 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 13.2 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 13.1 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.6 | 10% | |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 12.5 | 0–37 | 1.6 | |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.2 | 0–32 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 12.2 | 0–34 | 1.6 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 12.0 | 0–34 | 1.4 | 10% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 11.7 | 0–38 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 11.4 | 0–31 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 10.9 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 10.8 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 10.6 | 0–30 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 10.1 | 0–30 | 1.4 | 10% | |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 9.8 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 9.7 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 9.5 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 8.9 | 0–32 | 1.1 | |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 8.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 7.7 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 7.7 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 6.9 | 0–24 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 6.8 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 6.8 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 0.9 | |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 5.9 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 6 | 5.3 | 0–19 | 0.6 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 5.1 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 13% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.8 | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 16% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 5.0 | 0–16 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.8 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 6% |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 10% |
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.6 | ||
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 4.0 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 3.1 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 2.9 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 1.7 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% | |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET