152 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 94.2 | 37–161 | 10.2 | 30% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 87.7 | 33–150 | 9.3 | 30% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 78.6 | 29–137 | 9.4 | 35% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 72.3 | 17–139 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 69.0 | 21–125 | 8.7 | 28% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 66.7 | 12–134 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 66.1 | 30–107 | 9.7 | 36% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 65.5 | 20–117 | 7.6 | 22% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 64.2 | 21–114 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 56.2 | 16–104 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 53.6 | 17–94 | 7.9 | 39% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 52.8 | 10–104 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 0–106 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 43.0 | 8–87 | 5.2 | 22% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 42.3 | 1–95 | 4.0 | 20% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 41.2 | 6–85 | 5.2 | 26% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.5 | 7–81 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 40.4 | 6–83 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 39.7 | 6–81 | 5.9 | 39% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 39.0 | 2–84 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 38.0 | 5–81 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 35.5 | 3–75 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 34.1 | 2–73 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 34.1 | 0–77 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 33.0 | 0–80 | 3.9 | 10% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 32.6 | 6–65 | 4.6 | 37% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 31.8 | 3–68 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 30.4 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 28.8 | 5–57 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 27.7 | 0–62 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 26.7 | 0–60 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 25.6 | 0–60 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 25.1 | 0–60 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 23.6 | 0–57 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 22.0 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 21.8 | 3–47 | 4.4 | 33% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 21.4 | 0–52 | 3.1 | 20% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 20.2 | 0–51 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 20% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 19.1 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.7 | 0–51 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 18.5 | 0–47 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 18.4 | 0–47 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 18.1 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.0 | 0–43 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.0 | 0–45 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.7 | 0–45 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 17.4 | 0–43 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 17.4 | 0–45 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.3 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 17.1 | 0–46 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 16.9 | 0–39 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 16.7 | 0–40 | 2.4 | 22% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 16.2 | 0–40 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 16.1 | 0–46 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 15.0 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 14.8 | 0–39 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 14.3 | 0–42 | 1.8 | |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.9 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 13.8 | 0–42 | 1.7 | |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 13.5 | 0–37 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 13.1 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 12.5 | 0–37 | 1.6 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 12.0 | 0–34 | 1.4 | 10% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 11.7 | 0–38 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 11.4 | 0–31 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 11.3 | 0–31 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 10.9 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 10.7 | 0–30 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 10.6 | 0–30 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 10.5 | 0–30 | 1.7 | |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 9.8 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 9.7 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 9.5 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.3 | |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 9.5 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 9.0 | 0–28 | 1.1 | |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 8.5 | 0–26 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 30% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 7.9 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.4 | 16% |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 7.7 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 7.7 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 6.9 | 0–24 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 6.8 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 6.7 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 0.9 | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 6.4 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.0 | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 5.9 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% |
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 5.4 | 0–16 | 1.2 | 18% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 5.4 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 10% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.8 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 5.0 | 0–16 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.8 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 4.8 | 0–14 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.8 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 4.6 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 4.0 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 3.6 | 0–14 | 0.4 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.5 | 8% |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.5 | ||
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 2.2 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | ||
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% | |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET