122 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 8.7 | 28% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 4.8 | 2–9 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 7.1 | 30% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 22% |
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 4.3 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 15% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 22% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 22% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 17% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 21% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 18% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 26% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 3.4 | 0–7 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 36% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 3.3 | 0–7 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 26% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 2.9 | 0–7 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 20% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 46% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 25% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.6 | 9% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 17% |
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.6 | 29% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 22% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.3 | |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 17% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | 10% | |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 10% | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 14% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 16% |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 10% |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET