| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 78.6 | 29–137 | 9.4 | 35% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 72.3 | 17–139 | 7.0 | 34% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 66.7 | 12–134 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 64.2 | 21–114 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 52.8 | 10–104 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 43.0 | 8–87 | 5.2 | 22% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 42.3 | 1–95 | 4.0 | 20% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 41.2 | 6–85 | 5.2 | 26% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 40.4 | 6–83 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 39.7 | 6–81 | 5.9 | 39% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 39.0 | 2–84 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 38.0 | 5–81 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 35.5 | 3–75 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 34.1 | 2–73 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 26.7 | 0–60 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 23.6 | 0–57 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 22.0 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 21.4 | 0–52 | 3.1 | 20% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.7 | 0–51 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 18.5 | 0–47 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.0 | 0–45 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.7 | 0–45 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 16.7 | 0–40 | 2.4 | 22% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 16.2 | 0–40 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 14.3 | 0–42 | 1.8 | |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 13.8 | 0–42 | 1.7 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 12.5 | 0–37 | 1.6 | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 11.4 | 0–31 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 10.6 | 0–30 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 9.8 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 9.7 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 9.5 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 5% |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 7.7 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 6.9 | 0–24 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 0.9 | |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 5.9 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 5.0 | 0–16 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 4.0 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →