126 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 6.6 | 3–10 | 9.3 | 30% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 7.9 | 39% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 4.8 | 2–9 | 7.2 | 30% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 4.4 | 1–9 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 22% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 5.6 | 11% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 26% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.4 | 33% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 37% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 3.1 | 0–6 | 5.4 | 33% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 20% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 10% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.7 | 7% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 10% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 21% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 45% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 20% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 22% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 35% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 22% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 16% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 27% |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 10% | |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 18% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 16% | |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 14% |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Carsen Ryan CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET