| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 7.4 | 4–12 | 10.2 | 30% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 7.3 | 4–11 | 9.7 | 36% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.9 | 2–8 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 4.8 | 2–9 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 22% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 18% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 26% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 36% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 26% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 20% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.6 | 9% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 10% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 17% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 21% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 22% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 30% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 14% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →