✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.83 56%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 1 0.59 45%
James Cook BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.57 44%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 1 0.43 35%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 1 0.40 33%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Nico Collins HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 1 0.36 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
David Montgomery HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 2 0.31 27%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 1 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 3 0.24 22%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 3 0.22 20%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 2 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.22 20%
Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.21 19%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 1 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 1 0.19 17%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 7 0.18 17%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 1 0.18 17%
Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 0.18 16%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 1 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 15%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 14%
Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 1 0.15 14%
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.15 14%
Cade Stover HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 4 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 6 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 2 0.11 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 5 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 0.11 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 3 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 1 0.10 10%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Davis Mills HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 3 0.08 8%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Will Levis NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 0.08 8%
Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 3 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 3 0.08 7%
Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 3 0.07 7%
Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 2 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 2 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 5 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 3 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
GARBEDGE TIME
Reference
?  How It Works