| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 98.5 | 51–154 | 19.2 | 44% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 81.8 | 43–128 | 18.6 | 27% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 78.5 | 34–130 | 17.2 | 51% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 76.1 | 37–122 | 14.7 | 39% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 68.9 | 30–113 | 17.4 | 56% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 64.5 | 28–107 | 17.9 | 25% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 62.5 | 23–110 | 17.5 | 44% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 57.4 | 26–94 | 13.3 | 46% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 53.8 | 20–97 | 13.8 | 20% |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 45.1 | 15–82 | 9.4 | 11% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 34.2 | 8–66 | 7.2 | 16% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 27.9 | 2–60 | 4.7 | 19% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 21.2 | 1–48 | 5.5 | 31% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 20.7 | 2–44 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 19.5 | 1–41 | 2.7 | 12% |
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 18.7 | 1–40 | 3.2 | 12% |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 17.4 | 1–37 | 3.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.2 | 0–42 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 16.5 | 0–39 | 3.8 | 9% |
| Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 16.4 | 1–37 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 15.4 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 15.1 | 0–34 | 2.7 | 18% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 15.1 | 0–35 | 3.5 | 8% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 14.8 | 2–32 | 3.8 | 20% | |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 14.8 | 1–31 | 3.4 | 9% |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 12.6 | 0–28 | 2.9 | 10% |
| Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 12.5 | 0–29 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 12.3 | 0–28 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 17% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 11.8 | 0–28 | 3.3 | 9% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 11.2 | 0–30 | 2.0 | 27% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 11.1 | 0–24 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 10.9 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 10.4 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 10.3 | 0–23 | 2.7 | |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 8.4 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 15% |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.7 | 7% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 7.4 | 0–19 | 1.7 | 8% | |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 7.1 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 6.1 | 0–16 | 1.4 | 9% | |
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 6.0 | 0–17 | 1.1 | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5.9 | 0–15 | 1.7 | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.5 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.7 | 0–14 | 1.1 | |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 4.7 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 26% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 3 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.8 | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 3.9 | 0–11 | 1.1 | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 3.4 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.2 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 7% | |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 21% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 2.0 | 0–6 | 0.4 | 7% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 1.5 | 0–5 | 0.3 | |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 1.4 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 22% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.2 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 10% |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.7 | 0–3 | 0.3 | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 35% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 15% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% | |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 16% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 29% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 20% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 16% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →