| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 98.5 | 51–154 | 19.2 | 44% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 69.5 | 34–110 | 14.5 | 45% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 68.9 | 30–113 | 17.4 | 56% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 53.8 | 20–97 | 13.8 | 20% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 53.5 | 15–98 | 11.1 | 30% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 47.2 | 21–78 | 14.2 | 45% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 46.5 | 13–87 | 12.1 | 35% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 36.3 | 14–63 | 9.2 | 26% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 35.4 | 12–63 | 9.4 | 21% |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 33.9 | 7–65 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 31.4 | 8–62 | 6.7 | 10% | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 27.9 | 2–60 | 4.7 | 19% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 25.0 | 6–48 | 6.3 | 17% |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 24.9 | 8–44 | 6.6 | 16% | |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 16.3 | 2–34 | 4.7 | 13% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 16.2 | 0–40 | 3.6 | 22% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 15.1 | 0–35 | 3.5 | 8% |
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 15.0 | 0–40 | 3.0 | 14% |
| Ty Simpson LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 14.8 | 0–34 | 2.5 | 12% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 14.8 | 1–31 | 3.4 | 9% |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 13.7 | 0–33 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Carson Beck ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 12.7 | 0–30 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 12.5 | 0–29 | 2.5 | 14% |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 11.9 | 0–30 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 11.3 | 0–26 | 2.5 | 10% |
| Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 11.2 | 0–28 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 10.4 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 10.3 | 0–23 | 2.7 | |
| Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.7 | 7% |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 8.2 | 0–19 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 8.1 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 7.4 | 0–19 | 1.7 | 8% | |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 7.0 | 0–18 | 1.2 | 7% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 6.7 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 6.1 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 11% |
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 5.5 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 30% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 4.7 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 26% |
| Gardner Minshew CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.9 | |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.4 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 26% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 8% |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 1.0 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 2.7 | 0–8 | 0.9 | 14% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 30% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 17% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.2 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 0.8 | 0–1 | 0.1 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.7 | 0–3 | 0.3 | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% | |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 16% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →