120 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 7.6 | 3–12 | 11.1 | 56% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 7.1 | 3–11 | 9.8 | 34% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 6.6 | 3–10 | 9.3 | 30% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 7.9 | 39% |
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 8.4 | 26% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.7 | 1–9 | 6.5 | 34% |
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 23% |
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 4.1 | 1–7 | 7.1 | 25% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 4.9 | 21% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 30% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 4.9 | 52% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 22% |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 26% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 26% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.4 | 33% |
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 26% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 37% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 10% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.0 | 29% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 3.8 | 28% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 3.6 | 18% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.8 | 32% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 2.5 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 2.5 | 1–5 | 3.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 20% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 10% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 9% |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 14% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 20% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 22% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 16% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 7% |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 12% |
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 6% |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 18% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 15% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% |
| Lan Larison NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Tyler Conklin DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 7% | |
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 18% |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Tanner Arkin NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Colbie Young CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Miller NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN | FB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET