150 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 96.0 | 31–172 | 11.1 | 56% |
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 77.1 | 27–134 | 8.4 | 26% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 74.2 | 23–134 | 8.5 | 44% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 69.5 | 15–136 | 7.2 | 30% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 69.0 | 21–125 | 8.7 | 28% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 65.5 | 20–117 | 7.6 | 22% |
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 63.5 | 15–124 | 7.1 | 25% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 56.7 | 10–113 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 56.1 | 14–106 | 6.6 | 15% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 52.9 | 12–101 | 6.0 | 21% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 49.7 | 9–101 | 5.8 | 22% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 49.0 | 8–99 | 7.1 | 22% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 48.4 | 4–104 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 48.4 | 14–90 | 7.1 | 30% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 0–106 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 47.4 | 12–89 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 46.0 | 6–94 | 5.8 | 30% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 45.9 | 0–104 | 5.4 | 33% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 45.3 | 10–86 | 5.2 | 17% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 44.4 | 7–88 | 5.6 | 11% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 41.2 | 6–86 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.5 | 7–81 | 5.4 | 26% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 40.3 | 11–74 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 34.1 | 0–77 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 33.8 | 1–73 | 4.0 | 29% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 32.5 | 8–62 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 31.8 | 2–67 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 30.0 | 0–73 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 29.6 | 0–67 | 3.7 | 7% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 27.8 | 0–63 | 3.5 | 9% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 27.5 | 4–57 | 4.9 | 21% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 26.5 | 1–55 | 3.5 | 19% |
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 26.5 | 0–64 | 3.6 | 29% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 26.1 | 2–56 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 25.7 | 0–61 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 25.1 | 0–60 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 24.5 | 0–55 | 3.8 | 28% |
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 23.9 | 0–54 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 23.6 | 0–55 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 23.6 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 21.0 | 0–50 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 20.9 | 0–50 | 3.0 | 46% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 20.6 | 3–44 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 19.4 | 0–50 | 2.3 | 10% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 19.1 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 18.4 | 0–47 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 18.1 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.0 | 0–43 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 17.4 | 0–43 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 17.0 | 0–39 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 17.0 | 0–43 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 16.7 | 0–43 | 2.3 | |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 16.2 | 0–41 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 16.2 | 0–47 | 1.9 | 17% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 15.4 | 0–40 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 15.0 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 15.0 | 0–35 | 2.9 | 25% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.9 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 13.8 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 45% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 13.1 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.6 | 10% | |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 12.1 | 0–32 | 2.2 | 35% |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 12.0 | 0–34 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 11.9 | 0–39 | 1.7 | 15% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 11.7 | 0–38 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 10.9 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.4 | 15% |
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 10.1 | 0–30 | 1.4 | 10% | |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 9.9 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 9.6 | 0–33 | 1.2 | |
| Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.1 | |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 8.8 | 0–28 | 1.2 | |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 8.8 | 0–24 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 8.3 | 0–26 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 8.1 | 0–23 | 1.7 | 22% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 5% |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 7.7 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 0.9 | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 1.2 | |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 7.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 27% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 7.3 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 7.0 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 6.8 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 6.8 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 6.7 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 6.6 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.9 | |
| Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 6.3 | 0–22 | 0.7 | ||
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 6.2 | 0–17 | 1.2 | 10% | |
| Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 16% | |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 5.9 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 6 | 5.3 | 0–19 | 0.6 | |
| Colbie Young CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 14% |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | 6% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.8 | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 16% |
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.8 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | ||
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 4.8 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 10% |
| Tylan Wallace CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Carsen Ryan CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.7 | ||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN | FB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 3.2 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 3.1 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.7 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 1.7 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% | |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET