91 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 74.2 | 23–134 | 8.5 | 44% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 69.0 | 21–125 | 8.7 | 28% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 65.5 | 20–117 | 7.6 | 22% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 56.7 | 10–113 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 56.1 | 14–106 | 6.6 | 15% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 52.9 | 12–101 | 6.0 | 21% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 49.7 | 9–101 | 5.8 | 22% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 49.0 | 8–99 | 7.1 | 22% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 48.4 | 14–90 | 7.1 | 30% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 0–106 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 47.4 | 12–89 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 45.3 | 10–86 | 5.2 | 17% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 41.2 | 6–86 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.5 | 7–81 | 5.4 | 26% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 40.3 | 11–74 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 34.1 | 0–77 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 30.0 | 0–73 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 26.5 | 0–64 | 3.6 | 29% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 25.1 | 0–60 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 23.9 | 0–54 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 23.6 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 21.0 | 0–50 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 20.9 | 0–50 | 3.0 | 46% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 20.6 | 3–44 | 3.8 | 56% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 19.1 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 18.4 | 0–47 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 18.1 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.0 | 0–43 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 17.4 | 0–43 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 17.0 | 0–43 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 16.7 | 0–43 | 2.3 | |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 16.2 | 0–41 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 16.2 | 0–47 | 1.9 | 17% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 15.4 | 0–40 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 15.0 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 15.0 | 0–35 | 2.9 | 25% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.9 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 13.1 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.6 | 10% | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 12.0 | 0–34 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 11.7 | 0–38 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 10.9 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 16% |
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 10.1 | 0–30 | 1.4 | 10% | |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 8.8 | 0–28 | 1.2 | |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 5% |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 7.7 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 1.2 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 7.3 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 7.0 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 6.8 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 6.8 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 6.7 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 6.6 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.9 | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 5.9 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 6 | 5.3 | 0–19 | 0.6 | |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | 6% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.8 | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 16% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.8 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 10% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.7 | ||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 3.1 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 1.7 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET