| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 96.0 | 31–172 | 11.1 | 56% |
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 77.1 | 27–134 | 8.4 | 26% |
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 72.7 | 21–132 | 9.0 | 45% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 69.0 | 21–125 | 8.7 | 28% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 65.5 | 20–117 | 7.6 | 22% |
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 63.5 | 15–124 | 7.1 | 25% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 62.0 | 18–115 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 53.7 | 13–105 | 6.6 | 34% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 0–106 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 46.0 | 6–94 | 5.8 | 30% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 46.0 | 10–88 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 45.3 | 9–91 | 5.2 | 36% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 42.1 | 7–86 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 40.7 | 9–79 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.5 | 7–81 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 38.1 | 4–80 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 37.5 | 0–86 | 4.4 | 15% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 36.7 | 3–81 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 35.0 | 3–74 | 4.5 | 26% |
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 34.3 | 5–70 | 4.7 | 9% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 34.1 | 0–77 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 33.8 | 1–73 | 4.0 | 29% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 33.8 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 33.2 | 0–72 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 32.8 | 2–71 | 5.1 | 18% |
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 31.8 | 2–67 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 31.3 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 28.8 | 5–60 | 4.6 | 7% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 27.8 | 0–63 | 3.5 | 9% |
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 27.8 | 0–69 | 4.0 | 17% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 27.5 | 4–57 | 4.9 | 21% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 27.2 | 0–58 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 26.5 | 1–55 | 3.5 | 19% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 25.9 | 0–62 | 3.6 | 9% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 25.1 | 0–60 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 24.5 | 0–55 | 3.8 | 28% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 24.4 | 0–54 | 3.1 | 21% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 24.3 | 0–61 | 3.2 | 17% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 23.1 | 0–58 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 22.7 | 0–53 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 22.4 | 0–55 | 2.5 | 13% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 21.1 | 0–51 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 20.8 | 0–54 | 2.6 | 7% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 19.1 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 18.8 | 0–45 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 18.4 | 0–47 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 18.1 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.0 | 0–43 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 17.4 | 0–43 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 17.0 | 0–39 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 16.4 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 36% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 15.5 | 0–43 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 14.1 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.9 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 13.7 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 13.2 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 13.1 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 12.4 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 19% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.2 | 0–32 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 12.2 | 0–34 | 1.6 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 12.0 | 0–34 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 11.9 | 0–39 | 1.7 | 15% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 11.7 | 0–38 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.8 | 20% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 10.9 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 10.8 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 10.6 | 0–34 | 1.6 | 3% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 10.4 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.9 | 0–28 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.3 | |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 9.9 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.8 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 3% |
| Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.1 | |
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 9.3 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 29% |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 9.1 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 8.9 | 0–32 | 1.1 | |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 8.8 | 0–24 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 8.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 8.3 | 0–26 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 8.2 | 0–31 | 1.0 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 8.2 | 0–27 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.0 | ||
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 7.7 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 0.9 | |
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 14% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 6.8 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 6.7 | 0–22 | 0.8 | |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 6.3 | 0–22 | 0.7 | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 40% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 5.9 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Van Jefferson WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 5 | 5.8 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 8 | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | ||
| Colbie Young CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 5.1 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 13% |
| John Bates WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.9 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.8 | |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.8 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.9 | 7% |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 6 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.6 | ||
| Jalin Hyatt NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 3.3 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN | FB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 3.2 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 2.9 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.7 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 2.1 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1.8 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 4% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →