| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 87.7 | 33–150 | 9.3 | 30% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 74.2 | 23–134 | 8.5 | 44% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 69.0 | 21–125 | 8.7 | 28% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 65.5 | 20–117 | 7.6 | 22% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 62.0 | 18–115 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 56.7 | 10–113 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 53.6 | 17–94 | 7.9 | 39% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 49.0 | 8–99 | 7.1 | 22% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 0–106 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 47.4 | 12–89 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 41.2 | 6–86 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.5 | 7–81 | 5.4 | 26% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 40.3 | 11–74 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 38.1 | 4–80 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 36.7 | 3–81 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 34.1 | 0–77 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 33.8 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 33.0 | 0–80 | 3.9 | 10% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 32.6 | 6–65 | 4.6 | 37% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 31.8 | 3–68 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 31.3 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 30.4 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 28.8 | 5–57 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 27.2 | 0–58 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 25.1 | 0–60 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 24.4 | 0–54 | 3.1 | 21% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 23.1 | 0–58 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 22.7 | 0–53 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 22.4 | 0–55 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 21.8 | 3–47 | 4.4 | 33% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 21.1 | 0–51 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 21.0 | 0–50 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 20.6 | 3–44 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 20.2 | 0–51 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 20% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 19.1 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 18.4 | 0–47 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 18.1 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.0 | 0–43 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 17.4 | 0–43 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 16.9 | 0–39 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 15.4 | 0–40 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 14.8 | 0–39 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 14.1 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.9 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 13.7 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 13.2 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 13.1 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.2 | 0–32 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 12.2 | 0–34 | 1.6 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 12.0 | 0–34 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 11.7 | 0–38 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 11.3 | 0–31 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 10.9 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 10.8 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 9.5 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 9.0 | 0–28 | 1.1 | |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 8.9 | 0–32 | 1.1 | |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 8.8 | 0–28 | 1.2 | |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 8.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 7.9 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.4 | 16% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 5% |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 7.7 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 1.2 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 7.3 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 7.0 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 6.8 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 6.7 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 6.7 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 6.6 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.9 | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 6.4 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 4% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 5.9 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.0 | ||
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.9 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 5.4 | 0–16 | 1.2 | 18% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 5.1 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | 6% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.8 | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.8 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 4.8 | 0–14 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.8 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 4.6 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.6 | ||
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.7 | ||
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.5 | ||
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 2.9 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →