146 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 7.6 | 3–12 | 11.1 | 56% |
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 7.4 | 4–12 | 10.2 | 30% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 7.3 | 4–11 | 9.7 | 36% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 8.7 | 28% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 5.5 | 2–9 | 8.5 | 44% |
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 8.4 | 26% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.9 | 2–8 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 22% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 4.2 | 1–8 | 7.1 | 22% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.6 | 27% |
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 4.1 | 1–7 | 7.1 | 25% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 4.9 | 21% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 30% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 3.4 | 0–7 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 3.3 | 0–7 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.0 | 29% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 3.8 | 28% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 2.9 | 0–7 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 2.5 | 1–5 | 3.5 | 19% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 9% |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 21% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 14% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 30% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 15% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 5% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 13% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | ||
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.4 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Colbie Young CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN | FB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET