✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 1 0.74 52%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 1 0.42 34%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Chris Olave NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 1 0.33 28%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 2 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 1 0.28 24%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 1 0.25 22%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Bryce Lance NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 3 0.23 20%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Tyler Shough NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 1 0.22 20%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 3 0.18 17%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Kendre Miller NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 2 0.18 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Jalen Coker CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 2 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Darren Waller CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 2 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
John Metchie III CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 3 0.15 14%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 1 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 3 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 3 0.13 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Noah Fant NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 3 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 4 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 1 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 2 0.08 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 3 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 4 0.06 5%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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