✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ Tgt ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 96.0 31–172 11.1 56%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 87.7 33–150 9.3 30%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 77.1 27–134 8.4 26%
Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 1 74.2 23–134 8.5 44%
Chris Olave NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 1 69.0 21–125 8.7 28%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 1 65.5 20–117 7.6 22%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 63.5 15–124 7.1 25%
Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 1 56.7 10–113 6.5 24%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 53.6 17–94 7.9 39%
Matthew Golden GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 2 49.0 8–99 7.1 22%
Jalen Coker CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 2 47.4 0–106 5.1 15%
Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 1 47.4 12–89 6.1 31%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 46.0 6–94 5.8 30%
Jordan Addison MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 2 41.2 6–86 5.3 17%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 2 40.5 7–81 5.4 26%
T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 1 40.3 11–74 5.6 27%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 1 34.1 0–77 4.5 34%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 33.8 1–73 4.0 29%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 33.0 0–80 3.9 10%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 32.6 6–65 4.6 37%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 31.8 2–67 3.8 27%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 31.8 3–68 4.8 17%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 30.4 0–71 3.9 15%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 28.8 5–57 4.8 11%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 27.8 0–63 3.5 9%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 27.5 4–57 4.9 21%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 26.5 1–55 3.5 19%
Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 3 26.3 0–59 3.4 11%
Darren Waller CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 2 25.1 0–60 3.1 14%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 24.5 0–55 3.8 28%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 21.8 3–47 4.4 33%
Savion Williams GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 3 21.0 0–50 2.9 8%
Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 1 20.6 3–44 3.8 56%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 20.2 0–51 2.6 14%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 20.1 0–48 3.0 20%
John Metchie III CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 3 19.1 0–43 2.9 14%
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 1 18.4 0–47 3.5 52%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 1 18.1 0–42 3.4 24%
Bryce Lance NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 3 18.0 0–43 2.8 20%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 1 17.4 0–43 2.5 13%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 17.0 0–39 2.8 14%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 16.9 0–39 3.0 40%
Aaron Jones MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 2 15.4 0–40 2.8 36%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 14.8 0–39 2.0 12%
Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 3 13.9 0–35 1.8 17%
Noah Fant NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 2 13.1 0–36 1.8 11%
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 4 12.0 0–34 1.4 10%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 11.9 0–39 1.7 15%
Barion Brown NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 4 11.7 0–38 1.4 5%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 11.3 0–31 2.1 10%
Kendre Miller NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 2 10.9 0–32 1.9 16%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 9.9 0–29 1.4 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 9.5 0–31 1.4 9%
Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 4 9.4 0–29 1.1
Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 5 9.0 0–28 1.1
Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 2 8.8 0–28 1.2
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 8.8 0–24 1.4 9%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 8.3 0–26 1.0 6%
Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 5 8.2 0–24 1.1
Dillon Bell MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 8.1 0–25 1.1 6%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 7.9 0–23 1.4 11%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 7.8 0–25 1.4 16%
Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 4 7.7 0–22 1.2 5%
David Moore CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 5 7.7 0–23 1.0
Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 3 7.6 0–24 0.9
Bo Melton GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 4 7.6 0–24 1.2
Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 3 7.3 0–23 1.0
Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 7.0 0–23 0.9
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 6.9 0–23 0.9 9%
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 2 6.9 0–20 1.5 23%
Oscar Delp NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 3 6.8 0–22 1.0
Irvin Charles SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 6 6.7 0–23 0.9
Jordan Mason MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 1 6.7 0–19 1.2 15%
Pierre Strong GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 3 6.6 0–22 1.4 4%
Tai Felton MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 4 6.5 0–22 0.9
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 6.4 0–20 1.1 9%
Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 6.3 0–22 0.7
Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 6.3 0–20 0.8
Mark Redman GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 2 6.1 0–20 0.9 3%
Coleman Owen GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 6 6.0 0–19 0.9 4%
J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 5 5.9 0–19 0.9
Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 5.9 0–19 1.0
Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 5 5.6 0–18 0.9
Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 5.5 0–19 0.8 5%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 5.4 0–16 1.2 18%
Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 5.4 0–18 0.7
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 5.4 0–19 0.9 10%
Colbie Young CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 4 5.2 0–18 0.7
Myles Price MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 5 5.0 0–18 0.7 6%
AJ Dillon CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 4 5.0 0–18 0.8
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 5.0 0–17 0.7 9%
Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 2 4.9 0–16 0.8
CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 3 4.9 0–16 1.0 8%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 4.8 0–14 1.0 13%
Ian Thomas LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 3 4.7 0–15 0.8
Eric Saubert SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 2 4.6 0–16 0.6
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 3 4.3 0–14 0.7 13%
Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3 3.9 0–13 0.7 6%
Max Bredeson MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3.8 0–13 0.7 6%
DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3.6 0–13 0.7
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 3.2 0–11 0.6 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 3.2 0–12 0.5 7%
Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN FB PIT vs CIN 1 3.2 0–13 0.5
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 3.1 0–11 0.5 7%
Connor Heyward LV vs SEA FB LV vs SEA 1 3.0 0–10 0.6
Brady Russell SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3.0 0–10 0.5
Dareke Young LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 6 2.8 0–10 0.4
Treyton Welch NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 4 2.8 0–11 0.4
Chris Myarick LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2.7 0–10 0.4
Travis Homer PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 3 2.7 0–9 0.5
Josh Whyle GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 3 2.5 0–10 0.4
Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 3 2.5 0–9 0.3
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 2.5 0–9 0.4 6%
Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 4 2.4 0–9 0.5 5%
Dylan Laube LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 3 2.4 0–9 0.5
Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 4 2.3 0–9 0.3
Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 3 2.2 0–9 0.3
Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 3 2.0 0–7 0.3
Zach Wilson NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 3 0.0 0–0 0.0 10%
Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 3 0.0 0–0 0.0
Max Brosmer MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 3 0.0 0–0 0.0 7%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.0 0–0 0.0 9%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.0 0–0 0.0 7%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
GARBEDGE TIME
Reference
?  How It Works