| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 78.6 | 29–137 | 9.4 | 35% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 74.2 | 23–134 | 8.5 | 44% |
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 72.7 | 21–132 | 9.0 | 45% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 72.3 | 17–139 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 69.0 | 21–125 | 8.7 | 28% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 66.7 | 12–134 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 65.5 | 20–117 | 7.6 | 22% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 56.7 | 10–113 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 53.7 | 13–105 | 6.6 | 34% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 52.8 | 10–104 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 49.0 | 8–99 | 7.1 | 22% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 0–106 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 47.4 | 12–89 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 41.2 | 6–86 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 40.7 | 9–79 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.5 | 7–81 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 40.4 | 6–83 | 4.8 | 27% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 40.3 | 11–74 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 39.7 | 6–81 | 5.9 | 39% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 38.0 | 5–81 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 37.5 | 0–86 | 4.4 | 15% |
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 34.3 | 5–70 | 4.7 | 9% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 34.1 | 0–77 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 28.8 | 5–60 | 4.6 | 7% |
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 27.8 | 0–69 | 4.0 | 17% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 25.1 | 0–60 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 23.6 | 0–57 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 22.0 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 21.0 | 0–50 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 20.8 | 0–54 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 20.6 | 3–44 | 3.8 | 56% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 19.1 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 18.4 | 0–47 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 18.1 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.0 | 0–43 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.7 | 0–45 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 17.4 | 0–43 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 16.4 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 36% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 15.4 | 0–40 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 14.3 | 0–42 | 1.8 | |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.9 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 13.1 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 12.4 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 19% |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 12.0 | 0–34 | 1.4 | 10% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 11.7 | 0–38 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 11.4 | 0–31 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.8 | 20% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 10.9 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 10.6 | 0–34 | 1.6 | 3% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 10.6 | 0–30 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.9 | 0–28 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.8 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 3% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 9.3 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 29% |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 8.8 | 0–28 | 1.2 | |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 7.7 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 5% |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 7.7 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 1.2 | |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 7.3 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 7.0 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 6.8 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 6.7 | 0–22 | 0.8 | |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 6.7 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 6.6 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.9 | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 40% |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 4% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 5.9 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Van Jefferson WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 5 | 5.8 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 8 | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| John Bates WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.9 | |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | 6% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.8 | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.8 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.9 | 7% |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 6 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.7 | ||
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Ben Sinnott WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 2.1 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1.8 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 4% | |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →