| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 7.4 | 4–12 | 10.2 | 30% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 7.3 | 4–11 | 9.7 | 36% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 7.1 | 3–11 | 9.8 | 34% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 8.7 | 28% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.9 | 2–8 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 4.8 | 2–9 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.7 | 1–9 | 6.5 | 34% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 22% |
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 23% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 4.9 | 52% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 26% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 18% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 3.4 | 0–7 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 26% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 36% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 3.3 | 0–7 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 26% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 10% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 3.6 | 18% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 2.9 | 0–7 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.8 | 32% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 2.5 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.6 | 9% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 17% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 30% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 7% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 12% |
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 6% |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Lan Larison NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 14% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Tyler Conklin DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 7% | |
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 18% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Tanner Arkin NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 13% |
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Ryan Miller NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →