| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 91.4 | 44–150 | 17.6 | 33% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 87.0 | 38–143 | 17.9 | 28% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 74.4 | 38–115 | 16.0 | 52% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 69.0 | 32–110 | 15.8 | 38% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 66.0 | 32–107 | 16.3 | 49% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 66.0 | 30–109 | 12.9 | 37% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 60.5 | 25–100 | 13.6 | 18% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 59.8 | 24–104 | 11.7 | 20% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 55.7 | 20–97 | 12.6 | 22% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 54.5 | 17–99 | 10.7 | 18% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 48.8 | 19–87 | 12.5 | 38% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 47.1 | 9–96 | 9.6 | 13% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 43.7 | 17–74 | 11.6 | 21% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 43.6 | 16–76 | 9.2 | 11% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 41.3 | 11–80 | 12.8 | 48% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 40.2 | 18–65 | 11.6 | 25% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 38.6 | 12–69 | 10.2 | 17% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 37.6 | 11–70 | 9.5 | 15% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 35.8 | 7–72 | 10.1 | 15% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 33.2 | 9–62 | 7.4 | 10% |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 33.0 | 9–61 | 7.2 | 11% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 32.7 | 6–66 | 6.7 | 10% |
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 30.4 | 10–55 | 6.8 | 15% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 29.3 | 8–55 | 7.2 | 11% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 29.2 | 6–58 | 7.5 | 13% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 28.9 | 7–57 | 6.5 | 34% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 28.1 | 3–61 | 6.5 | 36% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.5 | 4–55 | 7.8 | 19% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 25.6 | 6–49 | 6.6 | 24% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 24.9 | 3–53 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 24.9 | 4–50 | 4.1 | 17% |
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 22.0 | 4–44 | 5.2 | 20% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 20.6 | 2–44 | 3.4 | 17% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 19.9 | 3–41 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 19.6 | 0–46 | 3.7 | 19% |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 19.1 | 4–37 | 4.8 | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.6 | 20% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 16.9 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 7% |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 16.5 | 0–40 | 3.0 | 21% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 16.5 | 1–36 | 3.8 | 8% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 12% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 16.1 | 1–34 | 3.6 | |
| Taylen Green CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 15.9 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 15.7 | 2–33 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 15.6 | 1–35 | 3.2 | 6% |
| Haynes King CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 15.6 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 15.1 | 0–38 | 3.2 | 10% |
| Cole Payton PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 14.9 | 0–34 | 2.5 | 11% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 14.9 | 1–31 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 14.6 | 1–32 | 3.3 | 20% | |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 13.6 | 0–32 | 3.0 | 27% |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.3 | 13% |
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 12.8 | 0–29 | 2.6 | 14% |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 12.2 | 0–31 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 12.2 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 11.7 | 0–31 | 2.2 | 10% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 11.6 | 0–30 | 2.5 | |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 11.0 | 0–26 | 2.3 | 11% |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 10.5 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 10.5 | 0–27 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 10.4 | 0–25 | 2.1 | 14% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 10.0 | 0–25 | 1.9 | 12% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 10.0 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 26% |
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 9.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 9.6 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.5 | 11% | |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 9.1 | 0–24 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 9.0 | 0–24 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 8.5 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 6% |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 8.4 | 0–23 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 8.3 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 7.9 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 7.8 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 7.5 | 0–18 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 7.4 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–20 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Drew Lock SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 7.0 | 0–21 | 1.1 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 6.7 | 0–17 | 2.0 | 7% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 6.7 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 6.4 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% | |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.2 | |
| Tanner McKee PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 6.1 | 0–18 | 1.1 | |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 5.3 | 0–15 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 5.2 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 8% | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.8 | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 4.1 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 32% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.7 | 8% |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 0.8 | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3.9 | 0–12 | 0.9 | ||
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 3.7 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 11% |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.7 | 4% | |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.6 | 25% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 2.3 | 0–7 | 1.0 | 45% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 7% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 0.5 | 29% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.8 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 18% |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 0.2 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 11% |
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 0.3 | |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 14% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 1.0 | 0–4 | 0.2 | 21% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.9 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 23% |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 0.4 | |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 36% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 14% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 16% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 57% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 31% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 17% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 28% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 21% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →