| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 6.6 | 3–10 | 9.3 | 30% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 6.3 | 3–10 | 9.4 | 35% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 7.9 | 39% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 5.5 | 2–9 | 8.5 | 44% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 5.4 | 2–10 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 4.7 | 1–9 | 5.9 | 39% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 4.2 | 1–8 | 7.1 | 22% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.4 | 33% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 37% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 10% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 20% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 15% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 16% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 9% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 18% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 5% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 3% |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | ||
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.4 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →