| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 7.6 | 3–12 | 11.1 | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 6.3 | 3–10 | 9.4 | 35% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 5.4 | 2–10 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 8.4 | 26% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 4.7 | 1–9 | 5.9 | 39% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 7.2 | 23% |
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 4.1 | 1–7 | 7.1 | 25% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 4.9 | 21% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 30% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.0 | 29% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 3.8 | 28% |
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 2.5 | 1–5 | 3.5 | 19% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 9% |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 15% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Colbie Young CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN | FB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →