| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 6.6 | 3–10 | 9.3 | 30% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 6.3 | 3–10 | 9.4 | 35% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 7.9 | 39% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 5.4 | 2–10 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 7.1 | 30% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 4.8 | 2–9 | 7.2 | 30% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 4.7 | 1–9 | 5.9 | 39% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 4.4 | 1–9 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 4.3 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 15% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 22% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 17% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 21% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 24% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 5.6 | 11% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.4 | 33% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 37% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 3.1 | 0–6 | 5.4 | 33% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 10% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 46% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 25% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.7 | 7% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.6 | 29% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 45% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 20% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 35% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.3 | |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 22% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 17% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 16% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 9% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 15% |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 27% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | 10% | |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 10% | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 18% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 10% | |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 16% | |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 16% |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 14% |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 10% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Carsen Ryan CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Tylan Wallace CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →