| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 6.3 | 3–10 | 9.4 | 35% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 5.5 | 2–9 | 8.5 | 44% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 5.4 | 2–10 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 4.7 | 1–9 | 5.9 | 39% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 4.2 | 1–8 | 7.1 | 22% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 15% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 5% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 3% |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | ||
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.4 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →