| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 91.5 | 33–160 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 78.8 | 25–141 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 77.6 | 19–148 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 77.6 | 31–131 | 9.0 | 37% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 74.7 | 19–141 | 7.5 | 28% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 71.2 | 17–139 | 7.9 | 32% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 70.2 | 13–139 | 8.9 | 43% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 65.9 | 13–130 | 8.2 | 23% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 64.5 | 21–116 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 62.4 | 28–101 | 10.0 | 37% |
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 60.5 | 16–114 | 6.9 | 24% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 57.7 | 12–113 | 5.9 | 24% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 57.6 | 18–105 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 55.3 | 14–102 | 8.4 | 25% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 54.7 | 13–107 | 6.2 | 29% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 54.7 | 8–115 | 5.3 | 41% |
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 48.9 | 7–102 | 6.0 | 31% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 43.6 | 8–86 | 5.8 | 14% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 42.8 | 6–88 | 4.7 | 27% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 41.8 | 9–81 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 41.2 | 5–87 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 40.4 | 4–85 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 38.0 | 7–77 | 5.2 | 33% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 35.2 | 4–73 | 5.6 | 10% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 34.1 | 8–66 | 4.8 | 45% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 33.6 | 0–78 | 4.4 | 12% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 33.6 | 7–66 | 5.5 | 50% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 32.0 | 0–71 | 4.3 | 10% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 31.7 | 4–67 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 30.5 | 3–67 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 30.3 | 0–75 | 3.8 | 11% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 29.6 | 6–59 | 4.5 | 54% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.9 | 0–62 | 3.8 | 14% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.1 | 9% |
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.3 | 31% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 25.9 | 2–54 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 25.1 | 0–61 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 24.6 | 0–61 | 3.1 | 7% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 20.5 | 0–54 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 20.1 | 0–56 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 19.9 | 0–53 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 19.4 | 0–47 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 19.0 | 0–51 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 18.7 | 0–49 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 18.3 | 0–44 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 17.2 | 0–45 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 15.7 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 15.7 | 0–44 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 15.6 | 0–43 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 15.5 | 0–37 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 15.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 15.0 | 0–34 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 14.4 | 0–38 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 14.0 | 0–34 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 13.7 | 0–42 | 1.6 | 6% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 13.0 | 0–31 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 12.6 | 0–41 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 12.0 | 0–33 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 11.9 | 0–33 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 11.9 | 0–32 | 1.7 | 9% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 11.0 | 0–30 | 1.8 | 13% |
| Jared Wayne MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 6 | 10.9 | 0–38 | 1.3 | |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 10.9 | 0–29 | 1.6 | 10% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 10.7 | 0–29 | 2.0 | 23% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 10.4 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 10.0 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 10.0 | 0–29 | 2.1 | 15% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 9.8 | 0–29 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Will Kacmarek MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 2 | 9.8 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 9.7 | 0–32 | 1.2 | 12% |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 9.7 | 0–27 | 1.3 | 5% |
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 9.4 | 0–26 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Bo Melton GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.2 | |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 9.0 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 24% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 8.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 18% |
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 8.0 | 0–24 | 1.8 | 25% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 8.0 | 0–23 | 1.3 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 8.0 | 0–25 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.6 | 13% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 7.6 | 0–20 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 7.5 | 0–23 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 7.4 | 0–25 | 1.3 | |
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 7.1 | 0–22 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 6.6 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.1 | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 1.0 | |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 6.3 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.6 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Irvin Charles SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 20% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 5 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 5.2 | 0–20 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.7 | |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 8% |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 4.9 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 4.8 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Tanner Arkin NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 4 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 3 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 8% | |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 4% |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.6 | ||
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 12% |
| Jackson Meeks DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 5 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.7 | |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3.7 | 0–13 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 3.6 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | ||
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Nick Kallerup SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 4% |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2.1 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Cameron Latu NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% | |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →