✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
AJ Barner SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Trey McBride ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 1 0.46 37%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 0.42 34%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 1 0.38 32%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.32 27%
Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 1 0.32 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 0.31 27%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 0.29 25%
Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 1 0.29 25%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 0.22 20%
Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 2 0.21 19%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 1 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 1 0.20 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 0.19 18%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 1 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Tory Horton SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 4 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Bam Knight ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 3 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 2 0.15 14%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 4 0.15 14%
Carson Beck ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 3 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 6 0.14 13%
George Holani SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 3 0.14 13%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 0.13 13%
Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 6 0.12 11%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI WR SEA vs ARI 2 0.11 11%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 1 0.11 11%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 5 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI RB SEA vs ARI 6 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA WR ARI vs SEA 6 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.10 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 0.09 9%
Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 0.09 8%
Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 3 0.08 8%
Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI TE SEA vs ARI 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 3 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA TE ARI vs SEA 2 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI @ SEA RB ARI vs SEA 4 0.08 8%
Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI QB SEA vs ARI 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA QB ARI vs SEA 2 0.06 5%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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