| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 96.3 | 40–160 | 19.1 | 50% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 91.4 | 44–150 | 17.6 | 33% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 71.0 | 29–121 | 16.8 | 29% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 69.0 | 32–110 | 15.8 | 38% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 66.0 | 32–107 | 16.3 | 49% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 60.5 | 25–100 | 13.6 | 18% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 48.3 | 22–78 | 13.2 | 50% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 47.3 | 8–97 | 12.9 | 24% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 40.2 | 18–65 | 11.6 | 25% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 38.6 | 12–69 | 10.2 | 17% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 35.8 | 7–72 | 10.1 | 15% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 33.2 | 9–62 | 7.4 | 10% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 32.7 | 6–66 | 6.7 | 10% |
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 30.4 | 10–55 | 6.8 | 15% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 29.3 | 8–55 | 7.2 | 11% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.5 | 4–55 | 7.8 | 19% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 25.6 | 6–49 | 6.6 | 24% |
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 25.6 | 3–55 | 4.3 | 22% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 25.3 | 7–47 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 24.9 | 4–50 | 4.1 | 17% |
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 24.1 | 5–47 | 4.4 | 14% |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 22.0 | 4–44 | 5.2 | 20% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 19.6 | 0–46 | 3.7 | 19% |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 18.8 | 3–38 | 3.8 | 15% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.6 | 20% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 16.9 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 7% |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 16.5 | 0–40 | 3.0 | 21% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 16.5 | 1–36 | 3.8 | 8% |
| Taylen Green CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 15.9 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 15.1 | 0–38 | 3.2 | 10% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 14.9 | 1–31 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 14.1 | 0–34 | 4.0 | |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 13.6 | 0–32 | 3.0 | 27% |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 13.2 | 0–30 | 2.7 | 17% |
| Kyle McCord MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 13.1 | 0–30 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 13.1 | 1–28 | 3.4 | 12% |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 13.0 | 0–29 | 3.1 | 8% | |
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 12.8 | 0–29 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 12.2 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 11.6 | 0–30 | 2.5 | |
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 11.2 | 0–26 | 2.4 | 13% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 11.0 | 0–28 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 10.9 | 0–24 | 3.2 | 12% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 9.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 9.6 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 9.0 | 0–24 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 8.5 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 6% |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 8.4 | 0–23 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 8.4 | 0–21 | 2.2 | 4% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 7.5 | 0–18 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 7.3 | 0–20 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–20 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Drew Lock SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 7.0 | 0–21 | 1.1 | |
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–17 | 1.3 | 6% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 5.3 | 0–15 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 5.2 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 8% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 5.2 | 0–15 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 4.9 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 7% | |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 4.7 | 0–13 | 1.1 | 5% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.6 | 0–13 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 4.1 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 32% |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3.9 | 0–12 | 0.9 | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 3.8 | 0–12 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3.5 | 0–11 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 11% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.6 | 25% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 25% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 2.3 | 0–7 | 1.0 | 45% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 0.5 | 29% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 18% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 1.6 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 37% |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 0.2 | |
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 0.3 | |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 36% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 23% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 24% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 21% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 16% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 28% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 27% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 21% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →